The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Take Action

Cascade Clash SYC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Saturday, August 26, 2023 at 11:30 AM

Northwest Fencing Center - Tigard, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 XU Serena - - - 4% 25% 55% 16%
2 ABUELFUTUH Sama - - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
3 DESANTIS-IBANEZ Elena - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
3 HANKINS Morgan - - - 3% 15% 40% 43%
5 FISCHBEIN Quinley - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 5%
6 XU Jessica 1% 7% 26% 39% 24% 4%
7 SONG Sunny - - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
8 SUN Karolyn - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
9 ZHAO Yanning 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
10 CAYETANO Audrey 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
11 LEE Kaitlyn 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
12 WU Jessica - - 2% 11% 28% 38% 21%
13 ZHAO Ellie 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1%
14 OLELE Ifechi 4% 19% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
15 TREPANIER Georgina - 3% 15% 35% 34% 12% 1%
16 MERRIMAN Rie 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% -
17 NGUYEN Renee - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 1%
18 ZHAO Emma - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
19 CHOI Lydia - 1% 9% 25% 36% 24% 5%
20 MOHAN Riya - 2% 10% 27% 37% 21% 3%
21 MIYOSHI Kylie 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
22 VIJAY Vaishnavi - 5% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
23 LEE Adelynn 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
24 LI Anna 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% -
25 YU Chloe 2% 16% 37% 32% 11% 1% -
26 KARTHIK Diya 5% 22% 34% 26% 11% 2% -
27 DU Chloe 3% 15% 30% 31% 16% 4% -
28 DU Chelsea 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
29 CHANG Allison 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
30 SCHULTZ Sumi 1% 12% 32% 35% 17% 3%
31 CHEN Julia Z. - 6% 24% 39% 25% 5% -
32 KOU Cynthia 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
33 CHEN Madeline 18% 42% 30% 9% 1% - -
34 XIONG Alice 22% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
35 WANG Chantal 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
36 LI Allison 30% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
37 YOUN Kylie 34% 45% 18% 3% - - -
38 BERESTOVITSKY Eva 17% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
39 DE GRUYTER Hannah 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% 1% -
40 WANG Ailly 2% 19% 38% 30% 10% 1%
41 DYMAR Anna < 1% 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 5%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.