Event Preview
Fortune ROC/RJCC/RYCSaturday, September 5, 2026 at 8:00 AM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 2197 | 2268 - 2134 |
| 5 - 8 | 2053 | 2097 - 1978 |
| 9 - 16 | 1880 | 1958 - 1832 |
| 17 - 32 | 1665 | 1826 - 1569 |
| 33 - 64 | 1225 | 1603 - 710 |
| 65 - 70 | 702 | 891 - 480 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.