Fortune Fencing RYC/RJCC/ROC(D1A, DV2, VET) & Y8

Y-12 Women's Foil

Saturday, September 2, 2023 at 4:00 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BAE Yooju - - - 1% 9% 36% 55%
2 TAO Ann - - - 1% 8% 38% 53%
3 THERON Zoe - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
3 KIM Sydney - - - 2% 13% 43% 43%
5 LIM Kensie - 1% 6% 23% 38% 27% 6%
6 LI Joy - 1% 8% 25% 37% 25% 4%
7 DENG Claire - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15% 1%
8 TAI Taphanie 18% 41% 30% 9% 1% -
9 CHANG Lydia - 1% 8% 27% 42% 22%
10 HUGHES Olivia 4% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
11 CHEN Madeleine 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
12 YU Sophie - - 4% 14% 31% 35% 16%
13 ZHAO Olivia - 4% 18% 36% 31% 10%
14 LEE Zoe 1% 8% 28% 39% 22% 3%
15 YAO Abby - - 1% 7% 29% 47% 15%
16 LUCAS Ava 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
17 SOE Hayleigh 4% 32% 42% 19% 3% < 1%
17 GUTIERREZ Yuliana - 5% 22% 39% 27% 6%
19 RUI Jessie - 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
20 CHAN Ella - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
21 LIM Kora 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% -
22 ZHANG Hannah 8% 26% 34% 23% 8% 1% -
23 MIYOSHI Kylie - 3% 16% 39% 34% 7%
24 TULYAG Sayda - 3% 15% 36% 35% 11%
25 DAI Iris Yuyang - - 1% 9% 35% 48% 7%
26 CHAMOUN Audrey - - 1% 9% 36% 41% 13%
27 SAH Madeleine - 4% 17% 31% 30% 14% 3%
28 WU Allison 1% 6% 20% 32% 28% 12% 2%
29 MA Isabelle - 1% 8% 27% 43% 22%
30 LAU Shu Yeung Sophia - 2% 13% 36% 37% 12%
31 NEUMANN Erika 4% 21% 37% 28% 8% 1% -
32 AHN Hayley 6% 26% 38% 24% 6% 1% -
33 WANG Yanxuan(Alicia) - 5% 20% 37% 30% 8% 1%
34 KIM Lauren 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
35 HSIAO Ariya 11% 40% 36% 12% 1% -
36 LEE Abigail - 1% 10% 35% 46% 8% -
37 XIA Isabella 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
38 SHEN Caleb - 3% 17% 38% 32% 9%
39 SAIFEE Zahra - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
40 FAN Sophia 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
41 THOTA Akira 1% 8% 35% 41% 14% 1%
42 LIU Ashley 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
43 FATTAL Leila - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
44 LI Audrey 14% 40% 35% 10% 1% - -
45 LIU Doris-Zihan Zhou 5% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
46 YUNG Zoe 38% 44% 16% 2% - -
47 YANG Byanca 23% 42% 27% 7% 1% - -
48 LING Camryn 3% 14% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
49 ZHANG Queeny 38% 43% 16% 3% - - -
50 BUSCHKOETTER Gwen - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
51 DAM Sofi 2% 12% 31% 35% 16% 3% -
52 HOFFMAN Isabelle 14% 38% 33% 13% 2% - -
53 ZOU JIAYING 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% -
54 SANTIAGO Rania 49% 38% 11% 1% - -
55 KIM Phoebe - 1% 31% 44% 21% 3%
56 MIRSAKOV-DE OLIVEIRA Giselle - 1% 11% 34% 39% 15%
57 NAYGAS Alexandra 5% 24% 40% 24% 6% 1%
58 YU-TAN Claire 26% 44% 24% 5% 1% -
59 SHEN Gloria - < 1% 4% 19% 38% 30% 8%
60 CHUN Ami 21% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
61 NAVARRO LeighAnn 15% 36% 32% 13% 2% - -
62 CHEN Aimee 9% 30% 37% 19% 4% - -
63 ANWEILER Megan - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
64 ZHAN Catherine 6% 26% 37% 24% 7% 1%
65 ZHAO Ashley 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
66 CHEN Yifan 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1%
67 ZHUANG Katherine 7% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
68 CHENG Audrey 17% 42% 31% 9% 1% -
69 ERDMAN-SINESIO Sophia 42% 42% 14% 2% - -
69 PLYAMM Francesca 1% 7% 25% 39% 24% 5%
71 YATAVELLI Aria < 1% 6% 24% 39% 25% 6% -
72 DOROTEO GARCIA Mia 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.