Fortune Fencing RYC/RJCC/ROC(D1A, DV2, VET) & Y8

Y-12 Women's Foil

Saturday, September 2, 2023 at 4:00 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BAE Yooju 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55%
2 TAO Ann 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 53%
3 THERON Zoe 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
3 KIM Sydney 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 43%
5 LIM Kensie 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 6%
6 LI Joy 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 28% 4%
7 DENG Claire 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15% 1%
8 TAI Taphanie 100% 82% 41% 10% 1% -
9 CHANG Lydia 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
10 HUGHES Olivia 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
11 CHEN Madeleine 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
12 YU Sophie 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 16%
13 ZHAO Olivia 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
14 LEE Zoe 100% 99% 91% 64% 25% 3%
15 YAO Abby 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 15%
16 LUCAS Ava 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 4% -
17 SOE Hayleigh 100% 96% 64% 23% 4% < 1%
17 GUTIERREZ Yuliana 100% 100% 94% 72% 33% 6%
19 RUI Jessie 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
20 CHAN Ella 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
21 LIM Kora 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% -
22 ZHANG Hannah 100% 92% 66% 32% 9% 1% -
23 MIYOSHI Kylie 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 7%
24 TULYAG Sayda 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
25 DAI Iris Yuyang 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55% 7%
26 CHAMOUN Audrey 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54% 13%
27 SAH Madeleine 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 17% 3%
28 WU Allison 100% 99% 94% 74% 42% 14% 2%
29 MA Isabelle 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 22%
30 LAU Shu Yeung Sophia 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 12%
31 NEUMANN Erika 100% 96% 74% 37% 9% 1% -
32 AHN Hayley 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
33 WANG Yanxuan(Alicia) 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8% 1%
34 KIM Lauren 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
35 HSIAO Ariya 100% 89% 49% 13% 1% -
36 LEE Abigail 100% 100% 99% 89% 54% 9% -
37 XIA Isabella 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
38 SHEN Caleb 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 9%
39 SAIFEE Zahra 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
40 FAN Sophia 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
41 THOTA Akira 100% 99% 91% 56% 15% 1%
42 LIU Ashley 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 4% -
43 FATTAL Leila 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
44 LI Audrey 100% 86% 45% 10% 1% - -
45 LIU Doris-Zihan Zhou 100% 95% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
46 YUNG Zoe 100% 62% 18% 2% - -
47 YANG Byanca 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% - -
48 LING Camryn 100% 97% 84% 54% 23% 5% 1%
49 ZHANG Queeny 100% 62% 19% 3% - - -
50 BUSCHKOETTER Gwen 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
51 DAM Sofi 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3% -
52 HOFFMAN Isabelle 100% 86% 48% 15% 3% - -
53 ZOU JIAYING 100% 90% 59% 23% 4% -
54 SANTIAGO Rania 100% 51% 13% 2% - -
55 KIM Phoebe 100% 100% 98% 68% 24% 3%
56 MIRSAKOV-DE OLIVEIRA Giselle 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 15%
57 NAYGAS Alexandra 100% 95% 71% 31% 7% 1%
58 YU-TAN Claire 100% 74% 30% 6% 1% -
59 SHEN Gloria 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 8%
60 CHUN Ami 100% 79% 39% 11% 1% - -
61 NAVARRO LeighAnn 100% 85% 48% 16% 2% - -
62 CHEN Aimee 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% - -
63 ANWEILER Megan 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 4%
64 ZHAN Catherine 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% 1%
65 ZHAO Ashley 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
66 CHEN Yifan 100% 99% 92% 67% 33% 9% 1%
67 ZHUANG Katherine 100% 93% 70% 36% 12% 2% -
68 CHENG Audrey 100% 83% 41% 11% 1% -
69 ERDMAN-SINESIO Sophia 100% 58% 16% 2% - -
69 PLYAMM Francesca 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 5%
71 YATAVELLI Aria 100% 100% 94% 70% 31% 6% -
72 DOROTEO GARCIA Mia 100% 99% 91% 65% 31% 8% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.