Fortune Fencing RYC/RJCC/ROC(D1A, DV2, VET) & Y8

Div II Men's Saber

Sunday, September 3, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEONG Heonjun 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
2 BYON Julian 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 30% 6%
3 KIM ELIJAH 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 10%
3 KANG Evan 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 25% 5%
5 HWANG Jayden 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
6 CONTRACTOR Cyrus 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
7 DUDNICK Christian 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
8 PLONKA Derek 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
9 COOK Cole 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
10 ANDRES Michael 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
11 BRISLAWN Reilly R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
12 HERRERA aragon 100% 100% 92% 64% 26% 5% -
13 MUNGUIA Nathan 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
14 YAP Kah Kai (Cayden) 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 9%
15 HAO Anwen 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 8%
16 SUORSA Markus 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 55% 17%
17 FOX Gavin 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
18 RIGGINS Littleton K. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 10%
19 HOLZ Lucas 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
20 ZHAO Zhiyu 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 4%
21 POFF Kainoa 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 14% 1%
22 HRISTOV Kris 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 9% 1%
23 HO Anson 100% 96% 74% 34% 8% 1% -
24 TUNG Ryan 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
25 GIANETTO Ethan K. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 29% 4%
26 ZHOU William 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 15% 2%
27 WANG Zhuoyi 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
28 LESUEUR Luke J. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 9%
29 TSAI Michael T. 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
30 NGO Maximus 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 7% 1%
31 WEINBERG Harry 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
32 BRAKEY Ryan 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 12% 1%
33 NIETO Titus P. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
34 CHABENAT Guillaume 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 30% 4%
35 OLARIO Raphael 100% 99% 89% 55% 20% 4% -
36 VENKATRAMAN Sudhir 100% 89% 58% 25% 6% 1% -
37 WONG Lucas 100% 77% 34% 8% 1% - -
38 TAN Ryan 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
39 ZHONG Xuan 100% 99% 87% 55% 21% 4% -
40 ZOLLER Matthew 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 40% 10%
41 MARTINEZ Mario D. 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
42 CHAN Henry 100% 99% 90% 59% 21% 4% -
43 VO Landon 100% 86% 42% 11% 1% - -
44 GARDNER David 100% 99% 82% 39% 9% 1% -
45 ROJAS Alejandro Joaquin 100% 83% 32% 5% - - -
46 CENTENO Zachary 100% 82% 44% 15% 3% - -
47 FERGUSON Constantine 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
48 ANUMULA Aryan 100% 83% 40% 9% 1% - -
49 IYER Neil 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
50 XU James 100% 93% 53% 16% 2% - -
51 CHAN Elliott 100% 64% 21% 3% - - -
52 SUNG Julian 100% 93% 68% 34% 10% 2% -
53 WONG David 100% 41% 5% - - - -
54 DE GUZMAN Earl Andrew 100% 51% 11% 1% - - -
55 HENRY Ethan 100% 31% 4% - - - -
56 STONE Brad 100% 75% 30% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.