The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Take Action

Fortune Fencing RYC/RJCC/ROC(D1A, DV2, VET) & Y8

Div II Women's Foil

Sunday, September 3, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GUAN Sophie - - - 4% 18% 41% 36%
2 WANG Celine S. - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 4%
3 BEAVER Hannah - - - 4% 21% 47% 28%
3 GUAN Adeline - 1% 10% 31% 41% 18%
5 CHOI Kailyn - 1% 7% 26% 43% 23%
6 LI Jiahua - 6% 25% 37% 23% 7% 1%
7 OTEYZA Camille - 1% 5% 21% 37% 29% 8%
8 PATTERSON Natalia 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
9 MING YUE - - - 2% 16% 47% 35%
10 WU Nicole Moxuan 1% 9% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
11 BEAVER Ava - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
12 WELBORN Calissa - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
13 TIKHONOVA Sofia 2% 12% 32% 36% 16% 2% -
14 HOVAGHIMIAN Fira - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 2%
15 DANIELYANTS Gabriela - 2% 11% 32% 40% 14% 2%
16 KRYLTSOVA Eva 11% 35% 36% 15% 3% -
17 MATTUPALLI Ashwika 19% 40% 30% 10% 1% - -
18 SEN Arjen 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
19 GOEL Riyana 4% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
20 GUAN Sydney - 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
21 TIKHONOVA Vasilisa 9% 39% 36% 14% 3% - -
22 YANICELLI B.B. 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
23 MOORADIAN Anya 9% 32% 38% 18% 3% -
24 BALCE Cyril 5% 25% 39% 24% 6% 1% -
25 LAU Elena 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
26 LIU Jessica 19% 42% 30% 9% 1% - -
27 EGENOLF Gabriella 59% 34% 7% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.