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Fortune Fencing RYC/RJCC/ROC(D1A, DV2, VET) & Y8

Div II Men's Foil

Monday, September 4, 2023 at 3:30 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NGUYEN Liam - - - 1% 10% 39% 50%
2 SMITH Grant D. - - 5% 23% 40% 26% 6%
3 LI Avery Peihong - - 1% 6% 26% 43% 25%
3 PARK Ryan - - 2% 14% 36% 36% 12%
5 MEDVIDOVIC Pavle - 3% 17% 37% 33% 10%
6 FINNEY Lorenz - - - 3% 19% 44% 33%
7 PARK Sky - - 1% 9% 32% 42% 16%
8 PINCHENG Yao - - 5% 24% 39% 25% 5%
9 DEANS Donovan - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
10 SETLUR Bhrugu - - 1% 10% 32% 40% 16%
11 CHOI Ethan - 4% 20% 38% 29% 8%
12 MAK Osman K. - 6% 25% 40% 23% 5% -
13 WONG Yuheng Isaac - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
14 FOO Raynol - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
15 LI Jett - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
16 HUANG Jonathan - - - 4% 23% 46% 27%
17 LLIDO Soren - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 22%
18 LI Toby - - 1% 10% 34% 43% 12%
19 LEE Jayden - 8% 30% 40% 20% 2%
20 ZHANG Jacob - - 3% 18% 43% 29% 6%
21 TUAN Evan - 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 4%
22 BECKER Ethan 12% 37% 36% 13% 2% - -
23 REICHEL Ezra - 3% 19% 40% 31% 6%
24 WU Lucas - - 1% 7% 27% 43% 23%
25 CHANG Nathan 4% 21% 38% 29% 8% 1% -
26 GUO Hairuo - 3% 19% 42% 28% 7% 1%
27 ORNELAS Matteo 2% 15% 35% 32% 13% 3% -
28 ZHANG Matthew - - 3% 19% 41% 30% 7%
29 COOK Ryan 1% 8% 29% 38% 20% 4%
30 CHEN Brian 1% 17% 40% 31% 9% 1%
31 ZHOU Aiden 10% 36% 39% 13% 2% - -
32 BAE Eugene - 2% 13% 36% 34% 13% 2%
33 RODRIGUEZ VINCENT 6% 29% 41% 20% 3% - -
33 YORK Lucas 2% 19% 42% 28% 8% 1% -
35 XU Jiajun 32% 44% 20% 4% - - -
36 FLANAGAN Miles 14% 40% 32% 11% 2% - -
37 PARK Brandon - 1% 7% 27% 42% 21% 3%
38 AGUILAR Keops - 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3%
39 DAYAL Vedant 38% 42% 16% 3% - - -
40 PETERSON Lucas 4% 29% 41% 21% 4% -
41 KUO Jayden 51% 39% 9% 1% - -
42 CHOY Benedict W. 5% 25% 42% 23% 5% 1% -
43 ROSE Jacob W. 22% 45% 27% 6% - - -
44 SMITH Jeremiah 10% 36% 37% 14% 2% - -
45 REID Wesley 50% 40% 9% 1% - - -
46 ZONE Liam 1% 11% 31% 36% 17% 3% -
46 DACKO Nolan 17% 47% 29% 6% 1% - -
48 LEE Christopher 23% 44% 27% 6% - - -
49 HSIAO Nicholas - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
50 LIANG Ethan 20% 47% 27% 5% - - -
51 LEE Mason 29% 43% 23% 5% - - -
52 YUAN Jonathan 41% 42% 15% 2% - - -
53 TRUJILLO Jonah 71% 25% 3% - - -
54 MCCARVILL Cooper 14% 44% 32% 9% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.