Fortune Fencing RYC/RJCC/ROC(D1A, DV2, VET) & Y8

Div II Men's Foil

Monday, September 4, 2023 at 3:30 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NGUYEN Liam 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
2 SMITH Grant D. 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 32% 6%
3 LI Avery Peihong 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 25%
3 PARK Ryan 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 12%
5 MEDVIDOVIC Pavle 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 10%
6 FINNEY Lorenz 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 33%
7 PARK Sky 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 16%
8 PINCHENG Yao 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 30% 5%
9 DEANS Donovan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 56%
10 SETLUR Bhrugu 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 16%
11 CHOI Ethan 100% 100% 96% 75% 37% 8%
12 MAK Osman K. 100% 100% 93% 68% 28% 5% -
13 WONG Yuheng Isaac 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
14 FOO Raynol 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 12%
15 LI Jett 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
16 HUANG Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 27%
17 LLIDO Soren 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
18 LI Toby 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 12%
19 LEE Jayden 100% 100% 92% 62% 22% 2%
20 ZHANG Jacob 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36% 6%
21 TUAN Evan 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
22 BECKER Ethan 100% 88% 51% 15% 2% - -
23 REICHEL Ezra 100% 100% 97% 77% 37% 6%
24 WU Lucas 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 23%
25 CHANG Nathan 100% 96% 76% 37% 8% 1% -
26 GUO Hairuo 100% 100% 97% 78% 36% 8% 1%
27 ORNELAS Matteo 100% 98% 83% 48% 16% 3% -
28 ZHANG Matthew 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 36% 7%
29 COOK Ryan 100% 99% 91% 62% 24% 4%
30 CHEN Brian 100% 99% 81% 41% 10% 1%
31 ZHOU Aiden 100% 90% 53% 15% 2% - -
32 BAE Eugene 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 15% 2%
33 RODRIGUEZ VINCENT 100% 94% 65% 23% 4% - -
33 YORK Lucas 100% 98% 79% 36% 9% 1% -
35 XU Jiajun 100% 68% 24% 4% - - -
36 FLANAGAN Miles 100% 86% 46% 13% 2% - -
37 PARK Brandon 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 24% 3%
38 AGUILAR Keops 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 3%
39 DAYAL Vedant 100% 62% 19% 3% - - -
40 PETERSON Lucas 100% 96% 67% 26% 4% -
41 KUO Jayden 100% 49% 11% 1% - -
42 CHOY Benedict W. 100% 95% 70% 28% 6% 1% -
43 ROSE Jacob W. 100% 78% 33% 6% - - -
44 SMITH Jeremiah 100% 90% 54% 16% 2% - -
45 REID Wesley 100% 50% 10% 1% - - -
46 ZONE Liam 100% 99% 87% 57% 20% 3% -
46 DACKO Nolan 100% 83% 36% 7% 1% - -
48 LEE Christopher 100% 77% 33% 6% - - -
49 HSIAO Nicholas 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
50 LIANG Ethan 100% 80% 32% 6% - - -
51 LEE Mason 100% 71% 29% 6% - - -
52 YUAN Jonathan 100% 59% 17% 2% - - -
53 TRUJILLO Jonah 100% 29% 3% - - -
54 MCCARVILL Cooper 100% 86% 43% 11% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.