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Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WYSZYNSKI Marek B. - - - - - 3% 97%
2 CHEN David A. - - - 1% 14% 43% 42%
3 SIRICO Thomas (Tommy) P. - - 3% 17% 43% 37%
3 LAWRENCE John W. - - - 9% 41% 50%
5 STURGIS Bruce T. - - 9% 45% 38% 8%
6 SANCHEZ Leon D. - - 4% 22% 41% 27% 6%
7 LA BARR Edward T. 4% 24% 42% 25% 5% - -
8 BANKS Alexander S. - - 4% 31% 49% 16%
9 COTLAR Andrew D. - 7% 27% 41% 23% 3%
10 KURCHIN Yury - - 2% 15% 38% 35% 9%
11 MASTRONARDI Joseph M. 10% 31% 36% 19% 4% - -
12 DORFMAN Mitchell (Mitch) J. - 8% 29% 39% 21% 3%
13 GLADNICK Michael 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6% -
14 WEIL Brent 7% 27% 37% 23% 6% - -
15 MAYER Richard - 5% 18% 34% 31% 11% -
16 FLANAGAN James 2% 21% 39% 29% 9% 1%
17 RUSANOV Oleg 1% 13% 60% 23% 3% -
18 MEUDT Mark 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 7% -
19 CHANDLEE Thomas 1% 6% 22% 36% 28% 8% -
20 GREENLEAF John 1% 13% 33% 35% 16% 3%
21 JENKINS Michael 50% 45% 5% - - -
22 WU Geoffrey 13% 39% 35% 12% 1% - -
23 LEE Hans 38% 54% 8% - - -
24 ZAIDI Sohail 71% 26% 3% - - -
25 CHANG William 41% 43% 14% 2% - - -
25 NEFF stephen 8% 27% 35% 23% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.