Foothills Fall Fight 2023

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, September 9, 2023 at 11:00 AM

The Simpsonville Activity Center - Piedmont, SC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CLICK Aiden - - - 1% 11% 38% 50%
2 MURRAY-GRAMLICH Robert - 2% 17% 44% 34% 2%
3 RACHEL Dylan - 1% 11% 32% 39% 16%
3 CLICK Tristan - 6% 23% 38% 26% 6%
5 BUI Henry - 1% 5% 21% 40% 30% 4%
6 WALLACE James - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
7 PAL Ian K. 3% 21% 41% 27% 7% 1%
8 HAMILTON David F. - - 3% 21% 46% 25% 4%
9 POBIS Chandler R. - - - 2% 15% 50% 33%
10 GLENNON Sebastian J. - 2% 11% 31% 38% 17%
11 OLIVERIUS Joseph W. - - - - 4% 28% 68%
12 MALLOY Patrick G. - - - 4% 24% 45% 26%
13 MANN Justin - 5% 26% 43% 21% 3% -
14 CHEKH Vladimir - 5% 19% 35% 30% 10% 1%
15 MILLER Jonathan 21% 41% 28% 9% 1% -
16 VILLANI Henry M. - - 1% 11% 39% 48%
17 RIGGINS Joshua - 17% 39% 32% 11% 1%
18 SAKO Ayrton J. - 1% 10% 32% 40% 17%
19 CAMPBELL Eva 6% 28% 38% 21% 5% 1% -
20 PULLEN Ayah 6% 23% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
21 SNYDER Ari - 2% 14% 37% 35% 11%
22 BIRT David (Dave) L. - 6% 28% 40% 22% 4%
23 ZIMINSKY Karel M. - 5% 24% 40% 25% 5%
24 JAAFAR Hamza 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7% -
25 SMALLWOOD Jaylon - 1% 12% 51% 32% 4% -
26 PAYNE John T. - 1% 10% 32% 40% 17%
27 KRIEGER Jack - 13% 38% 34% 12% 1%
28 SHAFRITZ Noah - 5% 21% 38% 28% 7%
29 COLLIER Baiden C. 4% 23% 40% 26% 7% 1%
30 KREISER Alexander 2% 30% 42% 21% 5% -
31 MACAUDA Mark M. - 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% -
32 STILLMUNKES Rylan - 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 1%
33 FERRARO Nicholas 29% 43% 22% 5% 1% - -
34 MACLEOD Zion 3% 26% 46% 22% 4% -
35 HERRICK Kerry K. 57% 35% 7% 1% - -
36 MEIER Nicholas M. 3% 26% 40% 24% 7% 1% -
37 CATES Georgia 2% 20% 45% 29% 4% - -
38 LEVERETT Corrina 59% 35% 6% - - - -
39 ARZT Nicholas 7% 28% 39% 21% 5% - -
40 COUSINS Patrick 34% 50% 14% 1% - - -
41 RUOFF Elliott 7% 28% 38% 21% 5% -
42 GEISSLER Maximilian 7% 35% 38% 16% 3% -
43 SNYDER Kathryn 72% 25% 2% - - -
44 GUTHRIE Jennifer 81% 18% 1% - - -
45 HICKS Matthew 3% 20% 39% 29% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.