Foothills Fall Fight 2023

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, September 9, 2023 at 11:00 AM

The Simpsonville Activity Center - Piedmont, SC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CLICK Aiden 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
2 MURRAY-GRAMLICH Robert 100% 100% 98% 81% 37% 2%
3 RACHEL Dylan 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 16%
3 CLICK Tristan 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 6%
5 BUI Henry 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 33% 4%
6 WALLACE James 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
7 PAL Ian K. 100% 97% 76% 35% 8% 1%
8 HAMILTON David F. 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 29% 4%
9 POBIS Chandler R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 33%
10 GLENNON Sebastian J. 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
11 OLIVERIUS Joseph W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
12 MALLOY Patrick G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 71% 26%
13 MANN Justin 100% 100% 95% 68% 25% 3% -
14 CHEKH Vladimir 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 11% 1%
15 MILLER Jonathan 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% -
16 VILLANI Henry M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 48%
17 RIGGINS Joshua 100% 100% 83% 44% 12% 1%
18 SAKO Ayrton J. 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 17%
19 CAMPBELL Eva 100% 94% 66% 27% 6% 1% -
20 PULLEN Ayah 100% 94% 71% 37% 11% 2% -
21 SNYDER Ari 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 11%
22 BIRT David (Dave) L. 100% 100% 94% 66% 26% 4%
23 ZIMINSKY Karel M. 100% 100% 95% 71% 31% 5%
24 JAAFAR Hamza 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7% -
25 SMALLWOOD Jaylon 100% 100% 99% 87% 36% 4% -
26 PAYNE John T. 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 17%
27 KRIEGER Jack 100% 100% 86% 48% 14% 1%
28 SHAFRITZ Noah 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7%
29 COLLIER Baiden C. 100% 96% 73% 34% 8% 1%
30 KREISER Alexander 100% 98% 68% 26% 5% -
31 MACAUDA Mark M. 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% -
32 STILLMUNKES Rylan 100% 100% 98% 83% 49% 15% 1%
33 FERRARO Nicholas 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% - -
34 MACLEOD Zion 100% 97% 72% 26% 4% -
35 HERRICK Kerry K. 100% 43% 8% 1% - -
36 MEIER Nicholas M. 100% 97% 71% 32% 7% 1% -
37 CATES Georgia 100% 98% 78% 33% 4% - -
38 LEVERETT Corrina 100% 41% 6% - - - -
39 ARZT Nicholas 100% 93% 65% 26% 5% - -
40 COUSINS Patrick 100% 66% 16% 1% - - -
41 RUOFF Elliott 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% -
42 GEISSLER Maximilian 100% 93% 58% 19% 3% -
43 SNYDER Kathryn 100% 28% 2% - - -
44 GUTHRIE Jennifer 100% 19% 1% - - -
45 HICKS Matthew 100% 97% 77% 38% 9% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.