Foothills Fall Fight 2023

Div II Mixed Épée

Saturday, September 9, 2023 at 3:00 PM

The Simpsonville Activity Center - Piedmont, SC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PAL Ian K. - 4% 22% 39% 28% 7%
2 DUBE Ian D. - - 1% 9% 47% 43%
3 SNYDER Ari - 4% 21% 42% 30% 3%
3 KREISER Alexander 1% 17% 41% 32% 8% -
5 BIRT David (Dave) L. - - - 1% 17% 46% 35%
6 WALLACE James - - 6% 23% 37% 27% 7%
7 HAMILTON David F. - - 1% 12% 51% 36%
8 SAKO Ayrton J. - 1% 10% 33% 40% 15%
9 RACHEL Dylan - - 2% 13% 34% 37% 13%
10 VILLANI Henry M. - - 2% 15% 50% 33%
11 SHAFRITZ Noah - 1% 8% 28% 43% 21%
12 COLLIER Baiden C. 3% 18% 39% 30% 9% 1%
13 CHEKH Vladimir 1% 7% 27% 40% 22% 3%
14 HUESKE David B. - - 4% 20% 43% 32%
15 PULLEN Ayah 2% 16% 34% 32% 14% 2%
16 KRIEGER Jack 2% 19% 43% 29% 7% -
17 RIGGINS Joshua - - 1% 10% 29% 40% 20%
18 POBIS Chandler R. - - - 3% 26% 71%
19 PAYNE John T. - 1% 7% 24% 37% 26% 6%
20 SMALLWOOD Jaylon - 5% 25% 43% 24% 3%
21 FAN Yuchen 5% 24% 42% 26% 3% -
22 HERRICK Kerry K. 19% 41% 30% 9% 1% -
23 ZIMINSKY Karel M. - 2% 19% 44% 32% 3%
24 JOSEPH Matthew - - 1% 12% 41% 37% 10%
25 VON CLEF Claire 17% 40% 32% 10% 1% - -
26 MILLER Jonathan 9% 40% 37% 12% 2% -
27 GUTHRIE Jennifer 42% 45% 13% 1% - -
28 MANN Justin - 5% 24% 43% 24% 3%
29 MACLEOD Zion 1% 15% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
30 MEIER Nicholas M. 22% 43% 27% 7% 1% -
31 FERRARO Nicholas 28% 46% 22% 4% - -
32 SNYDER Kathryn 46% 49% 5% - - -
33 ARZT Nicholas - 7% 30% 42% 18% 2%
34 GABEL Dorotea - 5% 27% 42% 23% 4% -
35 WHITEHEAD Christopher - 10% 46% 40% 4% - -
36 LEVERETT Corrina 25% 60% 14% 1% - - -
37 BRUNELLI Alessandra 8% 29% 36% 21% 5% -
38 CATES Georgia 17% 41% 32% 9% 1% -
39 HALL Isabelle 15% 34% 31% 15% 4% - -
40 ENGLEHARDT Albert F. - 6% 25% 43% 22% 4% -
41 GEISSLER Maximilian 7% 30% 41% 20% 2% -
42 MOY Eva 43% 46% 10% 1% - - -
43 GRANGER Sara 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
43 HICKS Matthew 56% 36% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.