Foothills Fall Fight 2023

Div II Mixed Épée

Saturday, September 9, 2023 at 3:00 PM

The Simpsonville Activity Center - Piedmont, SC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PAL Ian K. 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 7%
2 DUBE Ian D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 43%
3 SNYDER Ari 100% 100% 96% 75% 33% 3%
3 KREISER Alexander 100% 99% 82% 41% 9% -
5 BIRT David (Dave) L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 81% 35%
6 WALLACE James 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 7%
7 HAMILTON David F. 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 36%
8 SAKO Ayrton J. 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 15%
9 RACHEL Dylan 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 13%
10 VILLANI Henry M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 33%
11 SHAFRITZ Noah 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
12 COLLIER Baiden C. 100% 97% 79% 40% 10% 1%
13 CHEKH Vladimir 100% 99% 93% 66% 25% 3%
14 HUESKE David B. 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
15 PULLEN Ayah 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 2%
16 KRIEGER Jack 100% 98% 79% 36% 7% -
17 RIGGINS Joshua 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 20%
18 POBIS Chandler R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
19 PAYNE John T. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
20 SMALLWOOD Jaylon 100% 100% 95% 70% 27% 3%
21 FAN Yuchen 100% 95% 71% 29% 3% -
22 HERRICK Kerry K. 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% -
23 ZIMINSKY Karel M. 100% 100% 98% 79% 35% 3%
24 JOSEPH Matthew 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 46% 10%
25 VON CLEF Claire 100% 83% 43% 12% 2% - -
26 MILLER Jonathan 100% 91% 51% 14% 2% -
27 GUTHRIE Jennifer 100% 58% 14% 1% - -
28 MANN Justin 100% 100% 94% 70% 27% 3%
29 MACLEOD Zion 100% 99% 85% 46% 14% 2% -
30 MEIER Nicholas M. 100% 78% 36% 8% 1% -
31 FERRARO Nicholas 100% 72% 27% 5% - -
32 SNYDER Kathryn 100% 54% 5% - - -
33 ARZT Nicholas 100% 100% 93% 62% 20% 2%
34 GABEL Dorotea 100% 100% 95% 68% 26% 4% -
35 WHITEHEAD Christopher 100% 100% 90% 44% 4% - -
36 LEVERETT Corrina 100% 75% 15% 1% - - -
37 BRUNELLI Alessandra 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% -
38 CATES Georgia 100% 83% 42% 10% 1% -
39 HALL Isabelle 100% 85% 50% 19% 4% - -
40 ENGLEHARDT Albert F. 100% 100% 94% 69% 26% 5% -
41 GEISSLER Maximilian 100% 93% 62% 22% 2% -
42 MOY Eva 100% 57% 10% 1% - - -
43 GRANGER Sara 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1%
43 HICKS Matthew 100% 44% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.