The Margherita Guzzi Vincenti Cup

Junior Mixed Épée

Saturday, September 16, 2023 at 9:00 AM

Ataba Fencing Club - Hartland, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JOVANOVIC Jovan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 79%
2 KARNAS Karol 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
3 DOROSHKEVICH Victoria 100% 100% 93% 67% 29% 5%
3 SOBESHKEVYCH Roman 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 20%
5 SERAFYM Damian 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 16%
6 MCDOWELL Will 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
7 MALEADY Sean 100% 97% 83% 51% 19% 3% -
8 RITTERBUSCH Timothy 100% 100% 93% 64% 23% 2%
9 BRADFORD Ethan 100% 100% 92% 60% 20% 2%
10 HE Lingyun Matthew 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
11 WILLIAMS Logan 100% 98% 65% 23% 4% -
12 GINZBURG Adam 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% -
13 MCCORD Jack 100% 100% 88% 50% 14% 2%
14 DESAI Aadi 100% 98% 72% 32% 7% 1%
15 RICHARDSON Ray 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 2%
16 CURTY Jack 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 6% -
17 RITTERBUSCH Abigail 100% 15% 1% - - -
18 HULL Ilsa 100% 27% 3% - - -
19 KIEFER Sawyer 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.