NJFA RYC / RJCC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Sunday, September 17, 2023 at 8:00 AM

SportsPlex at Metuchen - Metuchen, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 CHEN Jayden 100% 100% 99% 91% 58% 11%
2 SINGLETON Aman 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
3 NOOL Alexander 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 29%
3 WHITE Jackson 100% 95% 68% 28% 6% -
5 TSIEN Richard 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% < 1%
6 LUO Alexander 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 27%
7 HONG Ethen 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 3%
8 SHAPIRO Samuel 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 8%
9 ZHAI Junqi 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 63%
10 YU David 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 7%
11 CAFASSO Alexander 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 16%
12 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
13 MASKIN Mikhail 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 9%
14 TOPRANI Valmik 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
15 NG Nico 100% 98% 84% 49% 15% 2%
16 WANG Marcus 100% 64% 22% 4% - -
17 ARMSTRONG Payson 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 5%
18 CHEN Tianjun 100% 88% 49% 13% 2% -
19 FRIZZELL Kai 100% 99% 89% 60% 22% 2%
20 GROVER Aditya 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% -
21 ZHANG Shuhao 100% 74% 28% 5% - -
22 CHO Adrian 100% 93% 64% 24% 3% -
23 THOMASCH Vincent 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 20%
24 YU George 100% 87% 50% 16% 2% -
25 YAO Irvine 100% 87% 49% 13% 1% -
26 ZHAO Brandon 100% 66% 23% 4% - -
27 LEE Ryan 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2%
28 CAVALLARO Sebastian 100% 93% 62% 25% 5% -
29 CHEN vincent 100% 88% 52% 16% 2% -
30 CAMPBELL Alexander 100% 75% 31% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.