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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Saturday, September 23, 2023 at 8:15 AM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MEHAN Nicholas - - - - 1% 15% 84%
2 ZHAO Lucas - - - 1% 8% 35% 55%
3 YOOK Isaac - - 2% 15% 43% 40%
3 CLARK Aram - - - 2% 13% 39% 45%
5 CHAMBERS Miles - - - - 1% 18% 80%
6 HENDERSON Lucas - - 1% 6% 23% 43% 28%
7 WAXLER Ryan - 1% 7% 26% 41% 25%
8 SHINCHUK Jacob 2% 15% 37% 32% 12% 2% -
9 PORTER Dupree - 1% 5% 21% 37% 28% 8%
10 SWIFT Owen - 4% 17% 35% 33% 12%
11 TSAO Alister 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 3%
12 SHAH Sohan 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
13 BARENBOYM Michael - 3% 15% 32% 33% 14% 2%
14 ZHANG Ray - 2% 11% 30% 37% 18% 2%
15 BALE ATMAN 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 4%
16 YOSHEA Henry - 4% 19% 40% 30% 6%
17 SASSI Ilyas - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
18 LEE Griffin - 1% 10% 31% 39% 18% 1%
19 PEREIRA Beckham - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
20 HU Jayden - 4% 18% 37% 31% 9%
21 CRAWFORD William 3% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2%
22 ZHAO Royce - - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21%
23 LIU Ryan - 3% 15% 31% 33% 16% 2%
24 SARWAHI Viraat - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
25 GORDON Samuel 1% 9% 30% 37% 19% 3%
26 TAYCHER Aaron - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
27 SHAPIRO Simon - 4% 20% 37% 30% 9%
28 OREN Daniel 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 2%
29 KIM Daehwan(Benjamin) 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
30 DAI Zihou - - 2% 10% 30% 41% 17%
31 LOO Jason - - 5% 23% 42% 28% 2%
32 SHARMA Colin - 1% 8% 26% 40% 23% 2%
33 KHOTLINE Daniel 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1%
34 LIEBOWITZ Carson 1% 12% 33% 35% 16% 3%
35 GUPTA Arav 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
36 MAGITSKY Isaac 3% 19% 38% 31% 8% 1% -
37 COGLIANO Max 1% 8% 28% 38% 21% 4% -
38 SONG Aidan - 1% 10% 29% 38% 20% 3%
39 MARSHQUIST Miles 7% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
40 LAU Kyrus 2% 13% 35% 35% 14% 2% -
41 LORENZ Evan - 3% 18% 39% 32% 8%
42 SMITH William 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% -
43 MENZIES Liam 30% 47% 20% 3% - -
44 SINGH Sumair 7% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
45 LIU Eric - 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 2%
46 LEVIN Jacob - 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
47 LOSQUADRO Joseph 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1% -
48 NA Justin - 2% 10% 29% 38% 19% 1%
49 MIAO Heqi 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
50 FARBER Jake 21% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
51 SUH Leo 7% 30% 38% 20% 5% 1% -
52 ROGOFF Arlo 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
53 FIROOZI Sam 31% 46% 19% 3% - -
54 MAPES Tanner 37% 42% 18% 3% - -
55 LUCAS William 2% 13% 31% 34% 16% 3%
56 NAYAGAM Nishant 1% 11% 30% 36% 19% 3%
57 WONG Vincent 5% 25% 38% 25% 7% 1%
58 HAIRABEDIAN Ellis 1% 12% 38% 35% 12% 1%
59 VOHRA Ekam 20% 44% 28% 7% 1% - -
60 LEE Damian 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
61 CHAN Ewan 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
62 SAUVE Quinn 31% 44% 20% 4% - - -
63 HAUSLER Jayden 21% 45% 27% 7% 1% - -
64 CAREY Sam 23% 39% 27% 9% 2% - -
65 O’LOUGHLIN Jacob 40% 42% 15% 2% - - -
66 CUSSON William 7% 29% 38% 21% 5% 1% -
67 BROOKS Drake 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
68 MAKAROV Alexander 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% -
69 CHEN Vince 54% 36% 8% 1% - -
70 EARLEY Jack 32% 44% 20% 4% - - -
71 SINGH Ben 4% 21% 39% 28% 8% 1%
72 SHEYNZON Benjamin 10% 35% 36% 15% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.