Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Women's Saber

Saturday, September 23, 2023 at 11:00 AM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GONZALEZ Veronika 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 28%
2 CASTELO Soleil 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 22%
3 FOSS Persephone 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
3 MEYERSON Michelle 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 29%
5 PARK Haylie 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 32% 6%
6 GONG Joy 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 25%
7 FUNG Iris 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 20%
8 CHOI Charlotte 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 21% 3%
9 LEOU Korina 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
10 WANG JiaQi 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 36%
11 NIU Jessica 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17%
12 XU Elaine 100% 99% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
13 HILD Anya 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 1%
14 CHOWDHERY Myra 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 7% 1%
15 LEE Kaitlin 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9% 1%
16 KIM Grace 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 2%
17 OSMINKINA-JONES Kai 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 3%
18 YERENKOVA Ameliia 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
19 SEO Kaitlyn 100% 99% 87% 54% 16% 2%
20 MAK Jayden 100% 97% 78% 40% 10% 1%
21 CHAU Zoey 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 11% 1%
22 GALLAGHER Isabella 100% 59% 17% 2% - - -
23 KATZ Emma 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 25% 5%
24 PEREIRA Izumi 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
25 ZONG Eliane 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 10% 1%
26 ALMEDA Galina 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
27 WANG Keira 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
28 STOLCKE Saskia 100% 88% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
29 MOTOVA Masha 100% 54% 14% 2% - -
30 SMITH Genevieve 100% 70% 29% 6% 1% - -
31 YOUNG Sienna 100% 99% 95% 77% 45% 16% 2%
32 MAGITSKY Giadora 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
33 GOLEN Grace 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 3% -
34 NEGROIU Mara 100% 73% 33% 9% 1% - -
35 SPIESS Linnea 100% 94% 70% 35% 11% 2% -
36 BALLOU-AARES Kaia 100% 96% 72% 33% 8% 1% -
37 LEE Elise 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% - -
38 LAU Angela 100% 92% 56% 18% 2% -
39 SAGER Bianca 100% 89% 53% 16% 2% - -
40 MCCARTHY Nora Louisa Abrous 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
41 BAO Amelia 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.