Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Sunday, September 24, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHAMBERS Miles - - - - 2% 21% 78%
2 ZHAO Royce - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 23%
3 TAYCHER Aaron - 1% 9% 31% 41% 18%
3 ISAYENKO Daniel - 5% 25% 41% 25% 4%
5 KUSHKOV Michael - 4% 23% 40% 27% 6%
6 DAI Zihou - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
7 HENDERSON Louis - 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 6%
8 HU Jayden - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11%
9 KARAVAS Nicholas 3% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
10 SO Morgan 1% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
11 MIAO Heqi - - 5% 24% 44% 27%
12 BENNETT Lachlan - 1% 8% 30% 45% 16% 1%
13 LUCAS William - 2% 13% 35% 36% 13%
14 MERMEGAS Alexander - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
15 AVERY Marcus 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 3%
16 BURENKOV Matthew 2% 19% 41% 30% 7% 1% -
17 SAGE Nikolai - 1% 7% 28% 43% 21%
18 LAU Kyrus 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4%
19 MALEK Zak 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
20 TITOV Zachary - - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
21 MHLEY Gavin 2% 11% 26% 33% 21% 7% 1%
22 ULYSSE Jacob - 9% 33% 39% 17% 2%
23 LIM JUWANA Maximilian - 2% 16% 38% 35% 10%
24 WAXLER Alex 12% 34% 34% 16% 3% -
25 ARCHIBALD Zachary - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 20%
26 BEAL Colton - - 1% 8% 35% 49% 7%
27 FOUX Jonathan 2% 11% 27% 34% 20% 6% 1%
28 CHAN Ewan 1% 12% 35% 37% 13% 2% -
29 SONG Aidan - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
30 BROOKS Drake 1% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
31 CHAVAN Aditya 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 3%
32 O’LOUGHLIN Jacob 41% 42% 15% 2% - -
33 KOREN David 18% 42% 30% 9% 1% - -
34 SHAPIRO Leo 2% 14% 31% 33% 17% 3%
35 KOREN George 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5%
36 CHEN Kevin 6% 26% 39% 23% 5% -
37 STOLCKE Julian - 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 1%
38 ALLEN Parker 9% 38% 38% 14% 2% - -
39 WANG Harrison 7% 44% 37% 12% 2% -
40 LEIGH Brayden 8% 32% 40% 17% 3% -
41 LEE Jason 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% -
42 EARLEY Jack 22% 42% 28% 8% 1% -
43 CUSSON William 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
44 DATTILIO Aidan 22% 41% 28% 8% 1% - -
45 RABEL Sebastian 17% 37% 31% 13% 2% -
46 GAO Francis 2% 23% 45% 24% 5% 1% -
47 BALTRUSAITIS Lucas Tommaso 17% 41% 31% 10% 1% -
48 FIROOZI Alex 76% 22% 2% - - -
49 GALE Major 51% 38% 10% 1% - - -
50 LONGCORE Daniel 1% 13% 42% 35% 9% 1%
51 WU Yuchen 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.