Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Sunday, September 24, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHAMBERS Miles 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78%
2 ZHAO Royce 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 62% 23%
3 TAYCHER Aaron 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 18%
3 ISAYENKO Daniel 100% 100% 95% 70% 28% 4%
5 KUSHKOV Michael 100% 100% 96% 73% 33% 6%
6 DAI Zihou 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
7 HENDERSON Louis 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
8 HU Jayden 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 11%
9 KARAVAS Nicholas 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
10 SO Morgan 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
11 MIAO Heqi 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 27%
12 BENNETT Lachlan 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 17% 1%
13 LUCAS William 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 13%
14 MERMEGAS Alexander 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
15 AVERY Marcus 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 3%
16 BURENKOV Matthew 100% 98% 79% 38% 8% 1% -
17 SAGE Nikolai 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
18 LAU Kyrus 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4%
19 MALEK Zak 100% 97% 83% 51% 19% 3%
20 TITOV Zachary 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
21 MHLEY Gavin 100% 98% 88% 61% 29% 7% 1%
22 ULYSSE Jacob 100% 100% 91% 57% 19% 2%
23 LIM JUWANA Maximilian 100% 100% 98% 82% 45% 10%
24 WAXLER Alex 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% -
25 ARCHIBALD Zachary 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
26 BEAL Colton 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56% 7%
27 FOUX Jonathan 100% 98% 88% 60% 27% 6% 1%
28 CHAN Ewan 100% 99% 87% 52% 15% 2% -
29 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 12%
30 BROOKS Drake 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
31 CHAVAN Aditya 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 3%
32 O’LOUGHLIN Jacob 100% 59% 17% 2% - -
33 KOREN David 100% 82% 40% 11% 2% - -
34 SHAPIRO Leo 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3%
35 KOREN George 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5%
36 CHEN Kevin 100% 94% 68% 28% 6% -
37 STOLCKE Julian 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 13% 1%
38 ALLEN Parker 100% 91% 53% 15% 2% - -
39 WANG Harrison 100% 93% 50% 13% 2% -
40 LEIGH Brayden 100% 92% 60% 21% 3% -
41 LEE Jason 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% -
42 EARLEY Jack 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% -
43 CUSSON William 100% 89% 57% 24% 6% 1% -
44 DATTILIO Aidan 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% - -
45 RABEL Sebastian 100% 83% 47% 15% 3% -
46 GAO Francis 100% 98% 75% 30% 6% 1% -
47 BALTRUSAITIS Lucas Tommaso 100% 83% 42% 11% 1% -
48 FIROOZI Alex 100% 24% 2% - - -
49 GALE Major 100% 49% 11% 1% - - -
50 LONGCORE Daniel 100% 99% 85% 44% 9% 1%
51 WU Yuchen 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.