Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Cadet Men's Saber

Sunday, September 24, 2023 at 4:00 PM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SHIRPAL Oleksandr 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
2 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 43%
3 KUSHKOV Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
3 HU Christopher 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 46% 11%
5 ATWOOD Griffin 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 9%
6 BRANDT Jaden 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 10%
7 CHUNG Connor 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
8 LEE Andrew 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
9 CHON Collin 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 18%
10 ZENG Noah 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
11 ANTHONY Devyn V. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
12 PINTO Marcus 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 12%
13 KIM Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 54%
14 LIN Philip T. 100% 100% 98% 82% 41% 7%
15 SHIPITSIN Alexander 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 14%
16 SEN Christian 100% 98% 82% 43% 10% 1%
17 BERA Enzo 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 14%
18 MEHAN Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 48%
19 WANG Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 17%
20 MUNGOVAN Matthew 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 1%
21 PRIEUR Christian F. 100% 94% 69% 31% 8% 1% -
22 NOTOPRADONO Nicholas 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
23 SHAH Sajan 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
24 LIN Maxim 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 16%
25 FRANCOIS Alexander C. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 8%
26 EYBELMAN Ariel 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
27 ZHAO Lucas 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 33% 5%
28 GONG Jerry 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 29%
29 NGUYEN Anthony 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
30 LIU Kevin 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 46% 13%
31 CLARK Aram 100% 100% 98% 86% 48% 9%
32 SIMMONS John M. 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 3% -
33 GONG zihao 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 20% 2%
34 TSAO Oliver 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 27% 4%
35 BOULAIS Andrew D. 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 9% 1%
35 CHOKSI Vihaan 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 7%
37 WITCZAK Mateus 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 15% 1%
38 MARGULIS Jared 100% 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
39 ALMEDA Stanislav 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% 1%
40 SUBA Lucas 100% 100% 98% 77% 37% 9% 1%
41 LAUB William 100% 100% 100% 91% 62% 24% 4%
42 DUMOULIN Gabriel 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 16% 2%
43 POWER Alex 100% 98% 78% 39% 10% 1% -
44 LIN Steve 100% 100% 100% 89% 56% 19% 3%
45 WEISS Toby 100% 72% 27% 5% - -
46 YOSHEA Henry 100% 85% 44% 10% 1% -
47 PEREIRA Beckham 100% 95% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
48 RIDKY Sam 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 3%
49 RYAN Kai 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 3%
50 SASSI Ilyas 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
50 AO Christopher 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% 1%
52 KATZ Ryan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
53 WAXLER Ryan 100% 100% 94% 58% 19% 3% -
54 SAGE Sebastian 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
55 COUNTS Nicholas 100% 100% 98% 77% 37% 9% 1%
56 SWIFT Owen 100% 95% 74% 41% 14% 3% -
57 O'LOUGHLIN Quinlan 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2% -
57 BARENBOYM Michael 100% 85% 46% 14% 2% - -
59 CLARK Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 37% 6%
60 MANESCU Miron 100% 97% 76% 38% 11% 1% -
61 LEE Griffin 100% 98% 87% 56% 21% 4% -
62 CAMPBELL Tobias 100% 93% 59% 22% 4% - -
63 CHAKRAVORTY Sohan 100% 78% 30% 6% - - -
64 SCHIMEL Luke 100% 70% 25% 4% - -
65 BADUSHOV Anton 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 13% 1%
66 PAVLENISHVILI Luke 100% 94% 62% 20% 3% - -
67 CHA James 100% 54% 9% 1% - - -
68 HE Bowen 100% 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% -
69 VILEMAITIS Tadas 100% 89% 52% 14% 2% -
70 ANSARI Umayr 100% 73% 26% 4% - -
71 COURTIN Frederic 100% 98% 75% 34% 8% 1% -
72 NAYAK Surin K. 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 4% -
73 BECKWITH Charlie 100% 99% 86% 49% 14% 2% -
74 BUCK Maximilian 100% 92% 61% 24% 5% - -
75 TSAO Alister 100% 96% 74% 37% 11% 1% -
76 ZHANG Ray 100% 86% 52% 20% 5% 1% -
76 MAPES Tanner 100% 28% 3% - - - -
78 HSU Aiden 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
79 EPLETT Nicholas 100% 91% 55% 16% 2% - -
80 ENGERRAN Michael 100% 63% 11% 1% - - -
81 LIGH Checed 100% 92% 66% 32% 9% 1% -
82 LOO Jason 100% 99% 87% 51% 13% 1%
83 SMITH William 100% 61% 17% 2% - - -
84 BHERWANI Ishaan 100% 53% 6% - - - -
84 COGLIANO Max 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -
84 BRUMBAUGH Alex 100% 62% 7% - - - -
84 DICARLO Vincent 100% 50% 11% 1% - - -
84 ARMSTRONG Nathaniel 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
89 YEHE-NARA William 100% 49% 12% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.