Windy City SYC # 9/RCC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Sunday, October 1, 2023 at 8:00 AM

The Athletico Center - Northbrook, IL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DOELL Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
2 DESERANNO Leander 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 19%
3 CHANG Eric Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
3 LU Alex 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
5 WANG Tiger 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
6 CHANG Jeremy 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 5%
7 FEDELI Francesco 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 47%
8 ZHENG Marcus 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
9 SUAREZ David 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 36%
10 YOU Alan 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 8%
11 OZAWA Taishi 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64% 17%
12 TAN Charlie 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 39% 6%
13 GE Felix Fei 100% 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 9%
14 WANG Elijah (QiChen) 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
15 FANG Haoyu 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 9%
16 LATORRE Leonardo 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10%
17 KIM Gene 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 21%
18 ZENG Albert 100% 99% 91% 64% 29% 7% 1%
19 MCMILLIAN Harrison 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 12% 1%
20 SYMMANK Callen 100% 100% 98% 81% 38% 8% 1%
21 WU Wallace 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 7%
22 ZHENG Lerui 100% 100% 99% 89% 54% 16% 2%
23 WANG Caleb 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 14% 1%
24 LINEBERRY CADEN 100% 100% 91% 51% 14% 2% -
25 KUANG Cyrus 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 5%
26 HUYNH Matthew 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5%
27 CHANG Parker 100% 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 2%
28 PAN Ethan 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 2% -
29 VENAFRO Tristan 100% 100% 100% 96% 71% 26% 3%
30 WEI Winston 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
31 HONG Edwin 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 7% -
32 WENGER Rowan 100% 99% 88% 57% 23% 5% -
33 HUYNH Kaleb 100% 90% 55% 18% 3% - -
34 ZHOU Justin 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 4%
35 DIFRANK Avery 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 4% -
36 LI Andy 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2% -
37 ZHAO Jason 100% 100% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
38 WATERFIELD Lysander 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
39 CHAN William 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
40 NAIDL Micah 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
41 MCGRATH Milo 100% 100% 99% 85% 46% 11% 1%
42 BEYDOUN Sam 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
42 GRIGORYAN Erik 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 3% -
44 DIFRANK Tae 100% 95% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
45 FOSTERVOLD Castiel 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 19% 2%
46 CHASE Crosby 100% 87% 54% 21% 4% - -
47 SHAH Aadi 100% 79% 33% 5% - - -
48 HOARE Gabriel 100% 86% 49% 16% 2% - -
49 CRONK Trevor 100% 79% 29% 5% 1% - -
50 ZHANG Hanson 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2% -
50 DANTON Ryan 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
52 TAGORE Ayansh 100% 89% 51% 12% 1% - -
53 GUGALA Frank 100% 94% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
54 XU Rambert 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
55 DURAI Dheeraj 100% 77% 21% 2% - - -
56 GREULICH Nikolas 100% 77% 38% 10% 2% - -
57 KOTCH Brodie 100% 99% 89% 58% 20% 3% -
58 NG Gavin 100% 59% 17% 2% - - -
59 HALLETTMANES Ezra 100% 48% 8% 1% - - -
60 HAN JINHA 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% -
61 HOLMES Elston 100% 40% 3% - - - -
62 ALTENHOF Nathaniel 100% 72% 26% 3% - - -
63 LIM-SEIWERT Cassian 100% 42% 8% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.