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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Ben Gutenberg Memorial SYC / RCC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Friday, September 29, 2023 at 1:00 PM

Golisano Training Center at Nazareth University - Rochester, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MEHAN Nicholas - - - - 4% 28% 68%
2 PINTO Marcus - - - 2% 15% 41% 41%
3 URSU Marcel T. - - 3% 18% 45% 35%
3 AO Christopher - 4% 16% 31% 32% 15% 2%
5 ZHAO Lucas - - 1% 10% 30% 41% 18%
6 LIU Kevin - - - 1% 8% 34% 57%
7 OH Aster - - - 4% 19% 44% 33%
8 WANG Yiyu Will - - 1% 7% 27% 43% 21%
9 GONG ziqian - 1% 8% 34% 46% 12%
10 MATTOO Deven - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
11 WELSTEAD Nicholas - 3% 15% 34% 33% 13% 1%
12 LI Maxwell - - 2% 9% 28% 40% 22%
13 GONG zihao - 1% 7% 28% 44% 20%
14 ZHAO Royce - - 1% 9% 30% 42% 18%
15 WANG ANDREW CHANG - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 29%
16 BAI Evan - 2% 10% 29% 38% 20% 2%
17 HENDERSON Lucas - 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 7%
18 VALENCIA Jose - 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
19 WANG Michael - - 2% 13% 34% 38% 12%
20 ONG Dylan - 3% 16% 34% 33% 12% 1%
21 VOHRA Ekam 15% 39% 33% 12% 2% - -
22 SUN Andrew - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
23 NGO Emerson 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1% -
24 CLARK Aram - - - 4% 22% 45% 29%
25 LIN Brendan - 3% 16% 35% 33% 12% 1%
26 SASSI Ilyas 1% 6% 23% 37% 25% 7% 1%
27 TRZEPLA Max 2% 16% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
28 NGO Maximus - 1% 9% 29% 41% 18% 2%
29 CHAMBERS Miles - - - 7% 36% 57%
30 KOZLOV Lucas - 1% 5% 18% 35% 31% 10%
31 EPLETT Nicholas 3% 21% 37% 28% 10% 1% -
32 KUSHKOV Michael 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% -
33 SAYAR Luke 1% 16% 44% 31% 7% -
34 SHAPIRO Simon 1% 11% 34% 37% 15% 2%
35 LIEBOWITZ Carson 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
36 JI Johnson 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
37 MORGAN Abrahm H. - - 3% 15% 33% 34% 13%
38 SLAVNOV Anton 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
39 AGARWAAL Yohan - 5% 27% 44% 21% 3%
40 GRABOWSKI Stanley 12% 50% 31% 6% - -
41 KUMAR Avinash 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
42 DAI Zihou - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 2%
43 SINGH Sumair 4% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
44 MATTOO Dhruv 7% 27% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
45 TAYCHER Aaron 1% 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1%
46 WU Vincent 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7% 1%
47 CHAWLA Abhishek 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
48 ZALEVSKY Liam 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 3% -
49 SONG Aidan 2% 11% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
50 MERMEGAS Alexander - 3% 16% 34% 33% 13% 2%
51 GRABOWSKI Alexander 2% 15% 38% 34% 11% 1%
52 SMITH William 34% 44% 19% 3% - -
53 ARVIND Adhijay 19% 45% 28% 7% 1% -
54 RINALDI Savio 8% 30% 37% 19% 5% 1% -
55 HE Jason 6% 27% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
56 LEMERY Marc 11% 35% 36% 15% 3% - -
57 OREN Daniel 6% 26% 38% 23% 7% 1% -
58 PAUL James 8% 29% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
59 SUN Stephen 13% 41% 33% 11% 2% - -
60 TUNIK Joshuah 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
61 MADHAVAN Arjun 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
62 TASIKAS Peter 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
63 MAGITSKY Isaac 30% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
64 O’LOUGHLIN Jacob 58% 34% 8% 1% - - -
65 MAPES Tanner 50% 39% 10% 1% - - -
66 GAYTAN Antonio 65% 31% 4% - - -
67 WOLFE Connor 2% 16% 36% 33% 12% 1% -
68 STOVER Jackson 47% 39% 12% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.