Ben Gutenberg Memorial SYC / RCC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Friday, September 29, 2023 at 1:00 PM

Golisano Training Center at Nazareth University - Rochester, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MEHAN Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
2 PINTO Marcus 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 41%
3 URSU Marcel T. 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 35%
3 AO Christopher 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 17% 2%
5 ZHAO Lucas 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 18%
6 LIU Kevin 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
7 OH Aster 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 33%
8 WANG Yiyu Will 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 21%
9 GONG ziqian 100% 100% 99% 91% 58% 12%
10 MATTOO Deven 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
11 WELSTEAD Nicholas 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 1%
12 LI Maxwell 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 22%
13 GONG zihao 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 20%
14 ZHAO Royce 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 18%
15 WANG ANDREW CHANG 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
16 BAI Evan 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 22% 2%
17 HENDERSON Lucas 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
18 VALENCIA Jose 100% 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3%
19 WANG Michael 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 12%
20 ONG Dylan 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13% 1%
21 VOHRA Ekam 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% - -
22 SUN Andrew 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 15% 2%
23 NGO Emerson 100% 94% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
24 CLARK Aram 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 29%
25 LIN Brendan 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 13% 1%
26 SASSI Ilyas 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 8% 1%
27 TRZEPLA Max 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2% -
28 NGO Maximus 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 20% 2%
29 CHAMBERS Miles 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 57%
30 KOZLOV Lucas 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 41% 10%
31 EPLETT Nicholas 100% 97% 76% 39% 11% 1% -
32 KUSHKOV Michael 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 7% -
33 SAYAR Luke 100% 99% 83% 38% 7% -
34 SHAPIRO Simon 100% 99% 88% 54% 16% 2%
35 LIEBOWITZ Carson 100% 98% 83% 53% 21% 4% -
36 JI Johnson 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
37 MORGAN Abrahm H. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 13%
38 SLAVNOV Anton 100% 99% 89% 59% 24% 5% -
39 AGARWAAL Yohan 100% 100% 95% 68% 24% 3%
40 GRABOWSKI Stanley 100% 88% 38% 7% - -
41 KUMAR Avinash 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 5% -
42 DAI Zihou 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 2%
43 SINGH Sumair 100% 96% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
44 MATTOO Dhruv 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
45 TAYCHER Aaron 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 7% 1%
46 WU Vincent 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7% 1%
47 CHAWLA Abhishek 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
48 ZALEVSKY Liam 100% 98% 85% 50% 17% 3% -
49 SONG Aidan 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% -
50 MERMEGAS Alexander 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 14% 2%
51 GRABOWSKI Alexander 100% 98% 83% 45% 12% 1%
52 SMITH William 100% 66% 22% 4% - -
53 ARVIND Adhijay 100% 81% 36% 8% 1% -
54 RINALDI Savio 100% 92% 61% 24% 5% 1% -
55 HE Jason 100% 94% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
56 LEMERY Marc 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% - -
57 OREN Daniel 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1% -
58 PAUL James 100% 92% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
59 SUN Stephen 100% 87% 46% 13% 2% - -
60 TUNIK Joshuah 100% 81% 43% 14% 2% - -
61 MADHAVAN Arjun 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
62 TASIKAS Peter 100% 84% 48% 15% 2% - -
63 MAGITSKY Isaac 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
64 O’LOUGHLIN Jacob 100% 42% 9% 1% - - -
65 MAPES Tanner 100% 50% 11% 1% - - -
66 GAYTAN Antonio 100% 35% 4% - - -
67 WOLFE Connor 100% 98% 82% 46% 13% 1% -
68 STOVER Jackson 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.