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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Ben Gutenberg Memorial SYC / RCC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Friday, September 29, 2023 at 1:00 PM

Golisano Training Center at Nazareth University - Rochester, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MOORE Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 28%
2 MAZAHERI Fletcher 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
3 SINGLETON Aman 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 8%
3 BOUDREAUX James 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
5 MIDYANY Ryan 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
6 FONG Kobe 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
7 WANG Marcus 100% 99% 92% 66% 26% 2%
8 ZHOU Zhi Matthew 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 15% 2%
9 YIN Justin 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 7%
10 LUO Alexander 100% 99% 91% 64% 24% 2%
11 SHCHUR Grayson 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
12 NOOL Alexander 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 3%
13 TOWNSHEND Connor 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 45% 13%
14 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 9% 1%
15 ARMSTRONG Payson 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
16 WU Matthew 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 24% 4%
17 SHAPIRO Samuel 100% 95% 69% 26% 4% -
18 LEE Harrison 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 16% 1%
19 DANILOV Artur 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 1%
20 WANG chaoyang 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 7%
21 VICK Ethan 100% 83% 46% 15% 2% -
22 QU RuiTing 100% 95% 74% 36% 9% 1%
23 GIORDANO Zach 100% 89% 58% 25% 6% 1% -
24 CHEN Isaac Zhi 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% 1%
25 DANG William 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 1%
26 LIN ZIJIE 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% -
27 SONG Aidan 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 11% 1%
28 HUANG Max 100% 98% 81% 43% 13% 2% -
29 HERDMAN Julian 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
30 LAI Jayden 100% 92% 55% 18% 3% - -
31 ZHAO Brandon 100% 71% 27% 5% - -
32 BOBORIS Dimitrios 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% -
33 NOOL Aaron 100% 98% 84% 55% 24% 6% 1%
34 TONG Anson Tin Hang 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 28%
35 PUTHOFF Henry 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 18%
36 SONG Samuel 100% 99% 87% 55% 21% 4% -
37 YAO Ryan 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 5% -
38 WU Jiachen 100% 94% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
39 YU George 100% 83% 46% 14% 2% - -
40 YAO Aiden 100% 94% 67% 28% 5% -
41 MASKIN Mikhail 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
42 VANDERMEER Joshua 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 13% 1%
43 GENG Michael 100% 96% 76% 42% 15% 3% -
44 MUELLER Travis 100% 51% 12% 1% - - -
45 MA yuwei 100% 84% 44% 12% 2% -
46 NG Chuck 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.