The Great Pumpkin

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, September 30, 2023 at 11:30 AM

Stoccata Fencing Academy and Club - Altamonte Springs, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 KYPRAIOS Nicholas - - - 1% 7% 26% 41% 25%
2 PROVATAS Eustratios - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
3 LEWIS Jared - - - - 5% 44% 50%
3 DAVIS Jonah - 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4%
5 ARTHUR Greg - - 3% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
6 FREY Wayne - - - 1% 16% 52% 30%
7 OZTEK Muzaffer Tonguc - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
8 VAN NIMWEGEN Nicholas - 2% 12% 30% 35% 17% 3%
9 KUROSWISKI Andre - - 2% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
10 DAVIS Kelly 1% 7% 24% 36% 24% 7% 1% -
11 GUPTA Aarav 1% 7% 30% 44% 17% 1% -
12 DAVIS Elisabeth 11% 37% 36% 14% 2% - -
13 VENZON Gavin - 4% 20% 42% 32% 2% -
14 BRIDGES Brayden 17% 50% 28% 5% - - -
15 MCFARLAND John - 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
16 TUCKER David - 3% 13% 29% 32% 18% 4% -
17 SCHIFFHAUER Bram 19% 43% 29% 8% 1% - - -
18 SARMIENTO Astrid 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
19 LOPEZ Justin 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
20 RIZZOLO Chris 30% 44% 21% 4% - - - -
21 DAVIS Shanna 8% 40% 44% 8% - - -
22 SAINT-LOUIS Sabina 19% 37% 30% 12% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.