The Great Pumpkin

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, September 30, 2023 at 11:30 AM

Stoccata Fencing Academy and Club - Altamonte Springs, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 KYPRAIOS Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
2 PROVATAS Eustratios 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 14%
3 LEWIS Jared 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 50%
3 DAVIS Jonah 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4%
5 ARTHUR Greg 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 2%
6 FREY Wayne 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 82% 30%
7 OZTEK Muzaffer Tonguc 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
8 VAN NIMWEGEN Nicholas 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 20% 3%
9 KUROSWISKI Andre 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 4%
10 DAVIS Kelly 100% 99% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
11 GUPTA Aarav 100% 99% 92% 62% 18% 1% -
12 DAVIS Elisabeth 100% 89% 53% 16% 2% - -
13 VENZON Gavin 100% 100% 96% 76% 34% 2% -
14 BRIDGES Brayden 100% 83% 33% 5% - - -
15 MCFARLAND John 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
16 TUCKER David 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 23% 5% -
17 SCHIFFHAUER Bram 100% 81% 38% 9% 1% - - -
18 SARMIENTO Astrid 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
19 LOPEZ Justin 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% -
20 RIZZOLO Chris 100% 70% 26% 5% 1% - - -
21 DAVIS Shanna 100% 92% 52% 8% - - -
22 SAINT-LOUIS Sabina 100% 81% 44% 15% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.