Event Results

Mixed Saber

James Madison University OpenSurprise Map

Saturday, October 7, 2023 at 4:00 PM JMU University Rec Center · Harrisonburg, VA, USA

27 finishers

Difficulty Upsets Pool Heatmap Strength

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

#	Name	Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome		Pool Victories
#	Name	Pool	DE	Exp.	Act.	Diff.
1	RAUSCHER Ryan	V V V V V	V V V V	3.5	5	+1.5
2	PATRICK Timothy M.	D V V V V V	V V V V D	4.8	5	+0.2
3	LE TAN	V D V V V V	V V D	3.6	5	+1.4
3	FENKER William M.	V V V V V V	V V D	4.6	6	+1.4
5	STAM August M.	V V V V V V	V D	4.3	6	+1.7
6	CASSIDY Connor J.	V V V V D V	V D	2.5	5	+2.5
7	PAGAN Andrew	V V V V D V	V V D	3.0	5	+2.0
8	CHAMBERS Thomas J.	V D V D V V	V V D	4.6	4	-0.6
9	ABU-AJAJ Mohamed	V D V V V D	V D	3.2	4	+0.8
10	SUTHERLAND Jr. Richard L.	V V V D V D	V D	4.3	4	-0.3
11	REEDER Nicholas W.	D V V D V V	V D	3.5	4	+0.5
12	JACKSON Evan	D V D V V	V D	1.1	3	+1.9
13	FEIRA Justin	V D D V V	V D	2.4	3	+0.6
14	LAUDO Joseph	D V D D V V	V D	2.4	3	+0.6
15	SULLIVAN Anna	V V D D V D	V D	1.8	3	+1.2
16	SEMP Brannon A.	D V V D D	V D	3.4	2	-1.4
17	GOSALIA Nidhi	D D V V D D	D	2.2	2	-0.2
18	NI Hao	D V D V D D	D	3.3	2	-1.3
19	OHASHI Jax	D V D V D D	D	2.2	2	-0.2
20	OLMEN Kelsey	D D V D D	D	1.2	1	-0.2
21	MAY Matthew	V D D D D	D	3.4	1	-2.4
22	COURTER Cameron	D D D D V D	D	4.5	1	-3.5
23	MEARS Caleb	V D D D D D	D	3.0	1	-2.0
24	PETERS Ella	D D D D D V	D	1.1	1	-0.1
25	TUSING Isabel	D D D D D D	D	1.4	0	-1.4
26	ZHANG Yulang	D D D D D D	D	2.2	0	-2.2
27	BARR Corinne	D D D D D D	D	0.4	0	-0.4

Outcome	Difficulty	Win Probability
Victory	Very Hard	0% to 20%
Victory	Hard	20% to 40%
Victory	Roughly Even	40% to 60%
Victory	Easy	60% to 80%
Victory	Very Easy	80% to 100%
Defeat	Very Hard	0% to 20%
Defeat	Hard	20% to 40%
Defeat	Roughly Even	40% to 60%
Defeat	Easy	60% to 80%
Defeat	Very Easy	80% to 100%

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