AAFA: Harry Rulnick Open

Div III Mixed Foil

Saturday, October 7, 2023 at 1:00 PM

All-American Fencing Academy - Fayetteville, NC, USA

Results

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Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 OWENS Elise V D V V V V V V V V 4.3 5 +0.7
2 HARWOOD Gray V V D D V D V V V D 3.2 3 -0.2
3 PRUT Anton V V V V V V V V D 3.0 6 +3.0
3 TAMIR Esu V D V V V V V V D 4.1 5 +0.9
5 GUEVARRA Gabriel (Gabe) W. V V V V V V V D 4.3 6 +1.7
6 SHMUKLER Maria V V D V V V V D 5.1 5 -0.1
7 KAPLAN Abe D V V D V V V D 3.6 4 +0.4
8 CANTERO GIGNAC Alexander V D V D V D V D 2.8 3 +0.2
9 CULLITON Colton V V V V V D D 2.8 5 +2.2
10 IFORD Andrew W. V V V D V D D 4.5 4 -0.5
11 CANADY Isaac D V V V D V D 3.5 4 +0.5
12 GUEVARRA Isabelle C. D V D V V D V D 4.4 3 -1.4
13 ODEA Ryan D V D D V V V D 2.2 3 +0.8
14 LEAKE Arlo D D V V D D V D 2.4 2 -0.4
15 GREENE Max D D D V D V V D 3.2 2 -1.2
16 KUBE Lily D D V D D D V D 0.7 1 +0.3
17 MORKOS Elinor D V D D D D D 1.2 1 -0.2
18 BARROW Jonathon D D D D D V D 1.5 1 -0.5
19 CHAPMAN Avery D D D D D D D 3.2 0 -3.2
20 SIERS David M. D D D D D D D 1.8 0 -1.8
21 PETERS Ezra D D D D D D D 1.2 0 -1.2

Legend

Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).

Color Outcome Opponent's Difficulty Probability of Victory
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%

Explanation

The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:

This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.