AAFA: Harry Rulnick Open

Div III Mixed Foil

Saturday, October 7, 2023 at 1:00 PM

All-American Fencing Academy - Fayetteville, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 OWENS Elise - - 4% 17% 36% 33% 10%
2 HARWOOD Gray - 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
3 PRUT Anton 1% 7% 24% 36% 24% 7% 1%
3 TAMIR Esu - 1% 5% 20% 37% 31% 7%
5 GUEVARRA Gabriel (Gabe) W. - - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
6 SHMUKLER Maria - - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
7 KAPLAN Abe - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
8 CANTERO GIGNAC Alexander 1% 11% 28% 34% 20% 6% 1%
9 CULLITON Colton 1% 8% 28% 39% 20% 4% -
10 IFORD Andrew W. - - 2% 11% 32% 40% 15%
11 CANADY Isaac - 3% 13% 32% 35% 16% 2%
12 GUEVARRA Isabelle C. - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
13 ODEA Ryan 3% 22% 37% 27% 9% 2% -
14 LEAKE Arlo 4% 18% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
15 GREENE Max - 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
16 KUBE Lily 46% 39% 13% 2% - - -
17 MORKOS Elinor 26% 41% 25% 8% 1% - -
18 BARROW Jonathon 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
19 CHAPMAN Avery < 1% 2% 16% 42% 37% 4% -
20 SIERS David M. 7% 35% 38% 17% 3% - -
21 PETERS Ezra 25% 43% 25% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.