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For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

AFM Super Regional SYC/RJCC/ROC Div1A/Vet

Junior Women's Foil

Friday, October 6, 2023 at 1:00 PM

Santa Clara Convention Center - Santa Clara, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LUO Ziyue - - - 6% 33% 60%
2 KIM Katherine - - - - 4% 27% 69%
3 RANDOLPH Piper - - - 1% 11% 39% 48%
3 LI Sophia M. - 1% 10% 31% 40% 18%
5 FUNG Vera - - 1% 6% 25% 43% 25%
6 SAIFEE Lamya - 3% 18% 36% 31% 10% 1%
7 LAI Sophia - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
8 DAVIS Bonnie Z. - 1% 10% 30% 40% 19%
9 HSU Kaylin - 6% 25% 38% 25% 6%
10 CHANG Elizabeth 1% 9% 31% 38% 18% 3%
11 SUN Chien-Yu 1% 7% 27% 39% 22% 4%
12 REN Kayley - 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
13 ZHANG Ivy 1% 8% 26% 37% 22% 5% -
14 KIM Rachel - 1% 10% 31% 40% 18%
15 PANT Anisha - - 1% 11% 36% 41% 10%
16 CUI alivia - 7% 30% 37% 20% 5% -
17 SOOD Ishani S. - - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
18 LEE Ji Ahn - - - 4% 20% 42% 34%
19 SWANSON Alexa 1% 5% 20% 34% 29% 10% 1%
20 GUAN Adeline 1% 11% 32% 35% 17% 3% -
21 HU Jenna 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
22 MU Allison - 2% 17% 43% 33% 5%
23 YANG Audrey - - 1% 7% 28% 43% 21%
24 PENG Serena - 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4%
25 FUNG Emma - - 1% 8% 28% 42% 21%
26 CASTANEDA Keira - - - 6% 27% 44% 23%
27 ZHANG Eunice - - 4% 18% 38% 33% 7%
28 HOBSON Ava 3% 25% 40% 25% 7% 1%
29 WYNN Kylie 2% 19% 42% 29% 8% 1% -
30 ZHANG Soleil C. - - 2% 15% 39% 34% 9%
31 WELBORN Calissa - 3% 18% 38% 31% 9% 1%
32 YIN Helen 1% 14% 35% 34% 14% 2%
33 MCKAY Teresa 3% 22% 42% 26% 6% 1% -
34 YONG Rosalind 1% 8% 29% 40% 19% 3% -
35 LENK Sophie 1% 15% 42% 32% 9% 1%
36 LIPKOVITZ Rivka - 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 3%
37 OH Ceana 1% 6% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
38 BEAVER Ava 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
39 WU Chingfei Amber 16% 48% 29% 7% 1% - -
40 HO Addison - 2% 18% 43% 32% 5%
41 RAO Sonia D. - 2% 13% 32% 35% 15% 2%
42 TOM Caitlyn 1% 6% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
43 LEVESQUE Brielle 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
43 GUO Audrey 39% 41% 16% 3% - - -
45 VO Bao-Vy 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 6% -
46 YUEN Elsie 22% 45% 26% 6% 1% -
47 LAY Apollonia 8% 49% 34% 8% 1% -
48 SCHULTZ Nomi 75% 23% 2% - - -
49 NAIR Supriya 13% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
50 ZULUETA Catherine - 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
51 LIU Samantha 10% 39% 37% 13% 2% - -
52 CHANG Janelle 52% 38% 9% 1% - - -
53 GOEL Riyana 25% 43% 25% 6% 1% - -
54 FONG Ellis 53% 40% 7% - - - -
55 PATTERSON Natalia 7% 29% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
56 TIKHONOVA Vasilisa 68% 28% 4% - - -
57 TIKHONOVA Sofia 23% 44% 26% 7% 1% - -
58 DESAI Esha 34% 45% 18% 3% - -
59 POON Mercedes 6% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
60 KRAATZ Kira 57% 36% 6% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.