AFM Super Regional SYC/RJCC/ROC Div1A/Vet

Div I-A Women's Foil

Saturday, October 7, 2023 at 3:00 PM

Santa Clara Convention Center - Santa Clara, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 RANDOLPH Piper 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
2 LEE Ji Ahn 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
3 KONG Chin-Yi 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 79%
3 DENG Melissa 100% 100% 99% 87% 52% 14% 1%
5 GEBALA Gabrielle Grace A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 81%
6 GOOR Viviene E. 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 24%
7 XIE Su 100% 98% 80% 38% 7% - -
8 ZHANG Eunice 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
9 KIM Rachel 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
10 FUNG Vera 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 23%
11 OH Ceana 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 15% 2%
12 LAI Sophia 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 56% 7%
13 GUAN Adeline 100% 100% 95% 65% 25% 4% -
14 FUNG Emma 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 9%
15 LUO Sandra J. 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
16 LI Sophia M. 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
17 GRANHOLM Carolyn N. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
18 CHANG Elizabeth 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 14% 2%
19 WELBORN Calissa 100% 98% 82% 45% 11% 1%
20 MU Allison 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2%
21 BHATT Morgane 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 41%
22 YUEN Elsie 100% 69% 26% 5% - -
23 CASTANEDA Keira 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 29% 6%
24 SAIFEE Lamya 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 21% 1%
25 KO Claire 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 25% 2%
26 SUN Emily 100% 100% 98% 85% 56% 22% 4%
27 SUN Chien-Yu 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4%
28 HOBSON Ava 100% 95% 69% 32% 8% 1%
29 CUI alivia 100% 99% 91% 58% 16% 2% -
30 RAO Sonia D. 100% 100% 99% 85% 49% 13% 1%
31 PENG Charlotte 100% 89% 51% 15% 2% - -
32 ZHENG Zoe 100% 74% 30% 6% - -
33 LUH Mia P. 100% 89% 53% 16% 2% -
34 ZULUETA Catherine 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
35 BEAVER Ava 100% 92% 61% 22% 3% -
36 LENK Sophie 100% 96% 72% 32% 7% 1% -
37 BALCE Cyril 100% 87% 41% 8% 1% - -
38 TROXEL Sylvie A. 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1%
39 FONG Ellis 100% 66% 15% 1% - - -
40 SEN Arjen 100% 33% 5% - - - -
41 CHANG Janelle 100% 54% 7% - - - -
42 BOLES Amanda X. 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% -
43 PATTERSON Natalia 100% 57% 17% 3% - -
44 GOEL Riyana 100% 54% 13% 1% - - -
45 KAPPAGODA Manel 100% 98% 76% 39% 12% 2% -
46 LIU Jessica 100% 45% 8% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.