Event Results
The 9-State Fencing Cup RYC/RCCSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | TSE Maxwell | V V V V D V | V V V V V | 5.0 | 5 | - |
| 2 | TRULL A.J. | V V D V V V | V V V V D | 5.5 | 5 | -0.5 |
| 3 | DOUBOV Andrew | V V V V V | V V V D | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
| 3 | LIU Adam | V V D V V V | V V V D | 4.7 | 5 | +0.3 |
| 5 | LI Jade | D V V V V V | V V D | 2.5 | 5 | +2.5 |
| 6 | BRADSHAW Carter | V D V V V D | V V D | 4.2 | 4 | -0.2 |
| 7 | CHEN Jayden | V V D D V V | V V V D | 4.2 | 4 | -0.2 |
| 8 | MORI Seneca | V D V V V D | V V V D | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| 9 | XI Benjamin | V V V V V V | V D | 5.0 | 6 | +1.0 |
| 10 | SONG Changze | V V V V V V | V D | 3.6 | 6 | +2.4 |
| 11 | GAO Victor | V V D V V V | V D | 3.3 | 5 | +1.7 |
| 12 | AHMED Mohsen | V V V V V D | V D | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
| 13 | SINGLETON Aman | V V V V D V | V D | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
| 13 | KARIMOV Amir | V D V V V V | V D | 3.1 | 5 | +1.9 |
| 15 | BAJAJ Nakul | D V V V V | V D | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| 16 | ZHAO Pierce | V V D D D D | V V D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
| 17 | SHOUSHA Hamza | V V V V V V | D | 5.1 | 6 | +0.9 |
| 18 | KIM Henry | V V D D V V | D | 4.5 | 4 | -0.5 |
| 19 | TRAN Spencer | D V V V D V | D | 4.9 | 4 | -0.9 |
| 20 | WANG-SONG Evan | V D V D V V | V D | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| 21 | NILSEN Mark | V D D V V V | V D | 2.6 | 4 | +1.4 |
| 22 | SOLARZ Arthur | V V V D D | V D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 23 | ZHAI Junqi | V D V D D V | V D | 4.0 | 3 | -1.0 |
| 24 | GLUSHKOV David | V D V V D D | V D | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| 25 | LI Ray | D D V V D V | V D | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| 26 | ALABI Tobi | V D D D V V | V D | 4.8 | 3 | -1.8 |
| 27 | ROSIELLO Francesco | V V D D V D | V D | 1.9 | 3 | +1.1 |
| 28 | STARKIE Kitteridge | D D D V V D | V D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 29 | TESFAYE Elias | D V V D D D | V D | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| 30 | SONG Aidan | V D D D D | V D | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| 31 | HELMY Richard | D D D D V D | V D | 3.4 | 1 | -2.4 |
| 32 | SHAPIRO Samuel | D V D D D D | V D | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| 33 | OCONNOR Paul | V D D V V D | D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 34 | CAFASSO Alexander | D D V V V D | D | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| 35 | CHEN Edward | D D D V V | D | 0.4 | 2 | +1.6 |
| 36 | DYCKMAN Benjamin | D V D V D D | D | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| 37 | WHITE Jackson | D D D V D V | D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 38 | ZHANG Jonathan | D D D V D V | D | 3.4 | 2 | -1.4 |
| 39 | ORESKOVIC Olivier | V D D D D D | D | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| 40 | SHI Evan | D D V D D D | D | 1.0 | 1 | - |
| 41 | HANNA Alexander | D D V D D D | D | 1.0 | 1 | - |
| 42 | WANG Marcus | V D D D D D | D | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| 43 | OMAR Abdullah | D D D D V D | D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| 44 | FOGEL Jake | D D D D D D | D | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| 45 | BRESLAV Asher | D D D D D | D | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| 46 | LEE Nicholas | D D D D D D | D | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| 47 | LAW Oliver | D D D D D D | D | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| 48 | YU George | D D D D D D | D | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |