The 9-State Fencing Cup RYC/RCC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Sunday, October 8, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Chelsea Piers - Stamford, CT - Stamford, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SRIVATS Vedh - - - 6% 34% 60%
2 TAYCHER Aaron - - 1% 11% 41% 46%
3 MERMEGAS Alexander - - 3% 17% 42% 37%
3 ZHAO Royce - - 1% 5% 21% 41% 32%
5 DAI Zihou - 1% 9% 29% 40% 20%
5 SONG Aidan - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
7 MIAO Heqi - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
8 CHANG Timothy 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 11% 1%
9 TITOV Zachary - 1% 10% 36% 43% 10%
10 CHAN Ewan 3% 19% 36% 30% 11% 1%
11 LAU Kyrus - 4% 18% 36% 32% 9%
12 CUSSON William 6% 27% 37% 23% 6% 1%
13 MHLEY Gavin 1% 12% 32% 36% 17% 3%
14 LIM JUWANA Maximilian - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
15 BROOKS Drake 1% 10% 33% 41% 14% 1%
16 ULYSSE Jacob 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
17 LEE Blake - 1% 9% 31% 44% 15%
18 SO Morgan - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
19 KARAVAS Nicholas 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
20 FOUX Jonathan 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 5% -
21 WANG Harrison 9% 29% 37% 20% 5% -
22 HOWARTH Hayes 1% 19% 42% 30% 7% -
23 LEIGH Brayden 2% 13% 35% 36% 12% 1%
24 BURENKOV Matthew 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% -
25 LEE Jason 7% 26% 38% 23% 6% -
26 AVERY Marcus 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 3%
27 WAXLER Alex 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2%
28 EARLEY Jack 38% 42% 17% 3% - -
29 VISH Manyu 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% -
30 OGELE Joshua 1% 11% 34% 38% 15% 1%
31 SHAPIRO Leo 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3%
32 ALLEN Parker 25% 41% 25% 7% 1% -
33 LI Jayden 10% 34% 37% 16% 3% -
34 DATTILIO Aidan 4% 24% 41% 25% 6% -
35 TANJGA Luka 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% -
36 KIM Mason 5% 33% 42% 18% 2% -
37 YAO John 29% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -
38 VITALE Mateo 2% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2%
39 SEARS Max 1% 12% 31% 35% 18% 3%
40 FIROOZI Alex 70% 27% 3% - - -
41 O'KEEFE Brody 10% 36% 36% 15% 3% -
42 HAGN Maximilian < 1% 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 3%
43 BALBALE Zayd 38% 43% 16% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.