The 9-State Fencing Cup RYC/RCC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Sunday, October 8, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Chelsea Piers - Stamford, CT - Stamford, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SRIVATS Vedh 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 60%
2 TAYCHER Aaron 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 46%
3 MERMEGAS Alexander 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
3 ZHAO Royce 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
5 DAI Zihou 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
5 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
7 MIAO Heqi 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
8 CHANG Timothy 100% 99% 94% 73% 40% 12% 1%
9 TITOV Zachary 100% 100% 99% 89% 53% 10%
10 CHAN Ewan 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 1%
11 LAU Kyrus 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 9%
12 CUSSON William 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1%
13 MHLEY Gavin 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3%
14 LIM JUWANA Maximilian 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
15 BROOKS Drake 100% 99% 89% 56% 16% 1%
16 ULYSSE Jacob 100% 99% 90% 64% 31% 8% 1%
17 LEE Blake 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 15%
18 SO Morgan 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 12%
19 KARAVAS Nicholas 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
20 FOUX Jonathan 100% 98% 84% 55% 23% 5% -
21 WANG Harrison 100% 91% 62% 26% 5% -
22 HOWARTH Hayes 100% 99% 80% 38% 7% -
23 LEIGH Brayden 100% 98% 85% 50% 14% 1%
24 BURENKOV Matthew 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
25 LEE Jason 100% 93% 67% 29% 6% -
26 AVERY Marcus 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
27 WAXLER Alex 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
28 EARLEY Jack 100% 62% 20% 3% - -
29 VISH Manyu 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% -
30 OGELE Joshua 100% 99% 88% 54% 16% 1%
31 SHAPIRO Leo 100% 99% 87% 56% 20% 3%
32 ALLEN Parker 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% -
33 LI Jayden 100% 90% 57% 19% 3% -
34 DATTILIO Aidan 100% 96% 72% 31% 6% -
35 TANJGA Luka 100% 73% 32% 7% 1% -
36 KIM Mason 100% 95% 62% 20% 2% -
37 YAO John 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% - -
38 VITALE Mateo 100% 98% 82% 48% 15% 2%
39 SEARS Max 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 3%
40 FIROOZI Alex 100% 30% 4% - - -
41 O'KEEFE Brody 100% 90% 54% 18% 3% -
42 HAGN Maximilian 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 3%
43 BALBALE Zayd 100% 62% 19% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.