The 9-State Fencing Cup RYC/RCC

Cadet Men's Saber

Sunday, October 8, 2023 at 9:00 AM

Chelsea Piers - Stamford, CT - Stamford, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BRANDT Jaden - - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
2 FRANCOIS Alexander C. - - 2% 11% 33% 42% 13%
3 MEHAN Nicholas - - - 1% 10% 42% 47%
3 LIN Maxim - - - 4% 23% 50% 22%
5 GUFFEY Christopher - - - 1% 8% 36% 56%
6 HU Christopher - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
7 BERA Enzo - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
8 DOWNEY Baran - - 1% 6% 24% 43% 26%
9 KATZ Ryan - - 3% 15% 36% 35% 11%
10 MCCARTHY Gabriel - - - - 6% 31% 63%
11 PINTO Marcus - - 3% 16% 37% 34% 11%
12 NGUYEN Anthony - 1% 9% 28% 41% 21%
13 VAROQUA Nalby - 2% 14% 36% 37% 10%
14 LIN Philip T. - - 3% 13% 32% 38% 14%
14 CLARK Gabriel - - 2% 15% 39% 37% 7%
16 LIU Kevin - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 26%
17 ATWOOD Griffin - - 4% 16% 35% 34% 11%
18 GONG Jerry - - 1% 8% 29% 41% 21%
19 CHUNG Connor - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
20 LEE Andrew - 1% 6% 24% 38% 25% 6%
20 YOOK Isaac - 2% 13% 33% 36% 15% 1%
22 CHOKSI Vihaan - - 1% 9% 29% 41% 19%
23 KIM Ethan - - 1% 12% 40% 47%
24 WANG Daniel - - - 1% 11% 40% 48%
25 BUIKEVICH Ihnat - 1% 8% 30% 38% 20% 4%
26 KESSLER Nathan - 2% 11% 28% 36% 20% 4%
26 LAUB William - 3% 16% 36% 31% 11% 1%
28 BADUSHOV Anton - 1% 9% 28% 38% 20% 2%
29 SASSI Ilyas 2% 13% 33% 34% 16% 3% -
30 NOTOPRADONO Nicholas 1% 13% 34% 35% 15% 2%
31 POWER Alex - 3% 20% 42% 29% 6% -
32 BUCK Maximilian 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
33 GRASSO Sebastiano - 2% 13% 35% 36% 13% 1%
34 SARWAHI Viraat 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 4% -
35 SADHU Neiyam 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 3% -
36 TSAO Oliver - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
37 NAYAK Surin K. 3% 18% 38% 30% 9% 1%
38 COUNTS Nicholas 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
39 MUNGOVAN Matthew - 2% 13% 32% 35% 15% 1%
40 ONG Dylan - 3% 15% 35% 34% 12% 1%
40 WELSTEAD Nicholas 2% 10% 27% 34% 20% 5% 1%
40 HERR Gabriele 2% 12% 31% 35% 18% 3% -
43 CLARK Aram - - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
44 SHINCHUK Daniel - 3% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2%
45 RYAN Kai - - 3% 19% 38% 31% 9%
46 LIM Brandon 1% 5% 20% 34% 29% 10% 1%
47 LOO Jason 2% 14% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
48 HE Bowen 1% 12% 33% 37% 15% 2%
49 WAXLER Ryan - 9% 29% 37% 21% 4%
50 SUBA Lucas 1% 17% 37% 32% 12% 2%
51 VILEMAITIS Tadas 2% 18% 41% 29% 8% 1% -
52 MANESCU Miron 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
52 EPLETT Nicholas 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
54 CRAWFORD William 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
55 MATTINGLY Ian 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
56 COURTIN Frederic 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
57 LAMTAN Christoffer 1% 12% 34% 35% 15% 3% -
58 GORDON Samuel 12% 38% 35% 13% 2% -
59 LIU Alexander 30% 45% 21% 3% - - -
60 KMETA-SUAREZ Graysen 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
61 ZHANG Ray 13% 34% 33% 15% 4% - -
62 WONG Caleb W. 8% 32% 37% 18% 4% - -
63 BHERWANI Ishaan 56% 36% 7% 1% - - -
64 WEISS Toby 35% 43% 18% 3% - -
65 PORTER Dupree 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
66 WANG tiger 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
67 PAVLENISHVILI Luke 2% 26% 41% 24% 6% 1% -
68 KIARA Kinoti 2% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2% -
69 LIU Ryan 2% 15% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
69 SHINCHUK Jacob 41% 41% 15% 3% - - -
71 ANSARI Umayr 16% 42% 32% 8% 1% - -
72 SMITH William 14% 50% 29% 6% 1% - -
73 COGLIANO Max 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
74 O'KEEFE Cade 72% 25% 3% - - - -
75 KUO Alden S. 1% 9% 30% 37% 19% 4% -
76 VAHABZADEH Jake R. 11% 36% 38% 13% 2% - -
77 ROSADO Sebastian 52% 37% 9% 1% - - -
78 BRUMBAUGH Alex 80% 19% 2% - - -
79 PENG Chris 13% 36% 34% 14% 2% - -
80 OREN Daniel 19% 39% 30% 10% 2% - -
81 TSAO Alister 11% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
82 WASCO Andrew 5% 48% 35% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.