The 9-State Fencing Cup RYC/RCC

Cadet Men's Saber

Sunday, October 8, 2023 at 9:00 AM

Chelsea Piers - Stamford, CT - Stamford, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BRANDT Jaden 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
2 FRANCOIS Alexander C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 54% 13%
3 MEHAN Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 47%
3 LIN Maxim 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 22%
5 GUFFEY Christopher 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
6 HU Christopher 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
7 BERA Enzo 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
8 DOWNEY Baran 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
9 KATZ Ryan 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 11%
10 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
11 PINTO Marcus 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 11%
12 NGUYEN Anthony 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
13 VAROQUA Nalby 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 10%
14 LIN Philip T. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 14%
14 CLARK Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 7%
16 LIU Kevin 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
17 ATWOOD Griffin 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
18 GONG Jerry 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 21%
19 CHUNG Connor 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
20 LEE Andrew 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 6%
20 YOOK Isaac 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 1%
22 CHOKSI Vihaan 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 19%
23 KIM Ethan 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 47%
24 WANG Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 48%
25 BUIKEVICH Ihnat 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 24% 4%
26 KESSLER Nathan 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 23% 4%
26 LAUB William 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 13% 1%
28 BADUSHOV Anton 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 23% 2%
29 SASSI Ilyas 100% 98% 86% 53% 19% 3% -
30 NOTOPRADONO Nicholas 100% 99% 86% 52% 17% 2%
31 POWER Alex 100% 100% 97% 77% 35% 7% -
32 BUCK Maximilian 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
33 GRASSO Sebastiano 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 14% 1%
34 SARWAHI Viraat 100% 99% 90% 59% 23% 4% -
35 SADHU Neiyam 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 4% -
36 TSAO Oliver 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
37 NAYAK Surin K. 100% 97% 79% 41% 10% 1%
38 COUNTS Nicholas 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 9% 1%
39 MUNGOVAN Matthew 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 17% 1%
40 ONG Dylan 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 13% 1%
40 WELSTEAD Nicholas 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 6% 1%
40 HERR Gabriele 100% 98% 87% 56% 21% 3% -
43 CLARK Aram 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 9%
44 SHINCHUK Daniel 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 15% 2%
45 RYAN Kai 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 39% 9%
46 LIM Brandon 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
47 LOO Jason 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
48 HE Bowen 100% 99% 86% 53% 16% 2%
49 WAXLER Ryan 100% 100% 91% 62% 25% 4%
50 SUBA Lucas 100% 99% 82% 45% 14% 2%
51 VILEMAITIS Tadas 100% 98% 79% 38% 10% 1% -
52 MANESCU Miron 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 2% -
52 EPLETT Nicholas 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
54 CRAWFORD William 100% 77% 35% 9% 1% - -
55 MATTINGLY Ian 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% - -
56 COURTIN Frederic 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
57 LAMTAN Christoffer 100% 99% 87% 53% 18% 3% -
58 GORDON Samuel 100% 88% 50% 15% 2% -
59 LIU Alexander 100% 70% 25% 4% - - -
60 KMETA-SUAREZ Graysen 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% - -
61 ZHANG Ray 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
62 WONG Caleb W. 100% 92% 60% 22% 4% - -
63 BHERWANI Ishaan 100% 44% 8% 1% - - -
64 WEISS Toby 100% 65% 22% 4% - -
65 PORTER Dupree 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
66 WANG tiger 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% - -
67 PAVLENISHVILI Luke 100% 98% 72% 31% 6% 1% -
68 KIARA Kinoti 100% 98% 83% 50% 16% 2% -
69 LIU Ryan 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2% -
69 SHINCHUK Jacob 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -
71 ANSARI Umayr 100% 84% 42% 9% 1% - -
72 SMITH William 100% 86% 35% 7% 1% - -
73 COGLIANO Max 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
74 O'KEEFE Cade 100% 28% 3% - - - -
75 KUO Alden S. 100% 99% 90% 60% 24% 5% -
76 VAHABZADEH Jake R. 100% 89% 53% 15% 2% - -
77 ROSADO Sebastian 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -
78 BRUMBAUGH Alex 100% 20% 2% - - -
79 PENG Chris 100% 87% 50% 16% 3% - -
80 OREN Daniel 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
81 TSAO Alister 100% 89% 55% 20% 3% - -
82 WASCO Andrew 100% 95% 47% 12% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.