The 9-State Fencing Cup RYC/RCC

Y-12 Women's Foil

Sunday, October 8, 2023 at 1:30 PM

Chelsea Piers - Stamford, CT - Stamford, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TANG Melody Fujiao 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
2 CAI Ilana 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
3 JOO Natalie 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
3 KRAHE Annika 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 11%
5 WANG Joanna 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 61%
6 LI Savannah 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 5%
7 WANG Amabel 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
8 BING Charlotte 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 55%
9 DE CASTRO Kai 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 13% 1%
10 SHIN Elizabeth 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24% 2%
11 LIN Yunong 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 15%
12 LIU Yino 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
13 YOUM Amelia 100% 89% 54% 16% 1% -
14 OTTAVIANO Maris 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 1% -
15 CAO Amelie 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5% -
16 YIN Chloe 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
17 ORRINGER Lottie 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 23%
18 ZHANG Zoey 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 6% -
19 BAULIN Zoya 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3% -
20 AGUIAR Leala 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 2%
21 ORBÉ-AUSTIN Maya 100% 98% 81% 45% 14% 2% -
22 PAEK Mila 100% 95% 62% 22% 3% - -
23 HAFEZ Sahar 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 39% 5%
24 BO Iris 100% 99% 91% 63% 27% 6% -
25 LI Christina 100% 79% 39% 11% 1% - -
26 JI Dora YuanDao 100% 93% 65% 25% 3% -
27 LEO Jenna 100% 91% 51% 16% 2% - -
28 ZHU Ella 100% 91% 59% 20% 2% - -
29 MACKINTOSH Quinn 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 4% -
30 GE Deanna 100% 99% 93% 68% 32% 7% -
31 SHANG Arianna 100% 92% 59% 22% 4% - -
32 LIANG Jasmine 100% 95% 69% 30% 7% 1% -
33 LI Doreen 100% 93% 64% 24% 3% -
34 DONG Katelyn 100% 56% 15% 2% - - -
35 PARK Eloisa 100% 100% 98% 83% 45% 10% 1%
36 LAU Victoria 100% 49% 11% 1% - - -
37 HUDSON Sophie 100% 55% 14% 2% - - -
38 WU Annie 100% 78% 36% 8% - -
39 BALMER Zoe 100% 51% 13% 2% - - -
40 SPEZAKIS Hypatia 100% 99% 92% 63% 24% 5% -
41 WEI Heidi 100% 99% 89% 53% 13% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.