Remenyik ROC and RJCC

Div I-A Men's Foil

Saturday, October 14, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Ryan Fieldhouse - Evanston, IL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LU Yikai 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
2 SHEPHERD Conner M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
3 OURSLER Jack 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 92%
3 SCHULZE-KALT Graydon L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 13%
5 WONG Antonio 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
6 DORE Davis 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 54% 13%
7 SENIC Lucas 100% 100% 99% 87% 46% 8%
8 BAILEY William F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 50%
9 JI Aidan Y. 100% 100% 100% 96% 72% 26% 3%
10 XIAO Bowen 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 22% 3%
11 LIU Ethan 100% 100% 100% 95% 62% 16%
12 EDWARDS Maxon 100% 100% 97% 74% 30% 3%
13 GATRELL Mitchell E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 13%
14 SANTOS Carlos R. 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1%
15 PALMA Matthew Dominic 100% 100% 99% 85% 43% 7%
16 MCISAAC Finn 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 10%
17 FORTUNE Alexander J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
18 NUNNINK Phillip W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 24%
19 SINHA Verdhaan 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 17% 2%
20 BOYKO Miles 100% 100% 98% 81% 42% 10% 1%
21 MILLER Douglas S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 82% 36%
22 WILKINS Mateo 100% 100% 97% 74% 29% 3%
23 RYAN Connor Q. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 31%
24 FANHAIJI Musitafa 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32% 2%
25 KANAR Ian 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53% 13%
26 PAI Lakshan K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 20%
27 CHUANG Oscar 100% 100% 94% 71% 31% 5% -
28 PALMA Nathan Anthony 100% 96% 79% 46% 17% 3% -
29 BROUGHAM Samuel 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
30 GNEUHS Sam 100% 96% 73% 33% 6% -
31 PAI Dong-Ying 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 43%
32 CORNEJO Theodore B. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 9%
33 CRALEY Thomas M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 92% 56%
34 MARTIN William 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7% -
35 TAN Xinlai 100% 84% 49% 18% 4% - -
36 SORRENTINO Salvatore 100% 100% 95% 72% 32% 7% 1%
37 CROOM Tucker 100% 70% 23% 2% - -
38 SLUSHER Gideon 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
39 SHEVCHENKO Kostiantyn 100% 100% 97% 80% 39% 7% -
40 KAIHATSU Edward J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
41 CHOE Jayden K. 100% 99% 87% 53% 15% 2% -
42 IRISH Thomas 100% 87% 46% 11% 1% - -
43 LEUNG Ethan 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 7%
44 GUTH Joseph 100% 100% 97% 70% 26% 3%
45 JU Alexander (Alex) Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 64%
46 PHONPRASANSACK Grayson 100% 64% 15% 1% - -
47 CHEZ Nolan 100% 98% 85% 49% 13% 1%
48 LOCKWOOD Jacob 100% 89% 25% 3% - -
49 ARATA Connor 100% 78% 35% 7% 1% -
50 WEINSTEIN Ethan 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
51 LIU Yinhong 100% 92% 65% 28% 6% 1% -
52 MCKINLEY Luke 100% 94% 62% 21% 3% - -
53 SMITH Cooper 100% 98% 82% 43% 10% 1% -
54 PINKERTON Joseph H. 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 25% 5%
55 REAUME Nate 100% 81% 35% 5% - - -
56 DELL George H. 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 9% 1%
57 MODADUGU Aryan 100% 49% 11% 1% - - -
58 HOWLAND Jonas 100% 93% 60% 20% 3% - -
59 WALKER Andrew J. 100% 99% 83% 35% 6% -
60 NAIDL Josiah 100% 79% 36% 8% 1% -
61 ENOIU Patrick 100% 82% 35% 6% - -
62 GLOVER George 100% 97% 73% 29% 6% - -
63 ROBBINS Christopher (Chris) W. 100% 93% 63% 25% 6% 1% -
64 LAKAS Darius 100% 21% 1% - - -
65 LABOW Howard B. 100% 89% 49% 14% 2% - -
66 REECE Oliver 100% 96% 69% 28% 5% - -
67 ROBINSON Matthew 100% 62% 13% 1% - -
68 HREHOCIK Matthew 100% 98% 81% 44% 13% 2% -
69 MARTIN Dexter 100% 53% 12% 1% - - -
70 ZHANG Alexander 100% 85% 46% 13% 2% - -
71 HOLLIDAY Christopher Mansfield-Scott 100% 95% 65% 24% 4% - -
72 TIERNEY Luke 100% 92% 64% 28% 6% 1% -
73 TANG xianchi 100% 98% 84% 46% 11% 1% -
74 MOHAMED Ahmed 100% 49% 11% 1% - - -
75 MATLIN Mark 100% 42% 7% 1% - - -
76 VANOYEN Dominick 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
76 MENASCO Juliun 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
78 VAGGALIS Denny 100% 44% 7% - - - -
78 LIN Connor 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
80 SOKOLIK Lucas W. 100% 92% 61% 20% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.