The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Remenyik ROC and RJCC

Div I-A Men's Saber

Saturday, October 14, 2023 at 3:00 PM

Ryan Fieldhouse - Evanston, IL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DOUGLAS Rhys - - - 1% 15% 84%
2 ROHRLACK Charles (Charlie) F. - - - - 1% 16% 83%
3 WANG William 1% 14% 39% 36% 10% -
3 LIM Joshua - 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
5 STATEN-LUSTY Silas J. - - - - 1% 11% 89%
6 BOUKHTIN Maxim - - 4% 16% 35% 34% 11%
7 HERNANDEZ Stanton - 1% 9% 31% 42% 17%
8 DIACOS Jordan - - - 2% 26% 73%
9 ZIRKLE James - - 3% 20% 41% 30% 6%
10 KIM Kendrick 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
11 LO Maxim L. - - 1% 7% 23% 41% 28%
12 AKS Ari - - 1% 23% 60% 15%
13 ORIATTI-BRUNS Vincent M. - 1% 12% 36% 36% 13% 1%
14 MOSKOWITZ Mason C. - - - 5% 40% 50% 5%
15 TOZZI Massimo - 3% 13% 31% 34% 16% 3%
16 SIDDIQUI Shayan - 5% 20% 37% 30% 9%
17 WANG Max 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8% -
18 CHINWAH Kaden - 3% 19% 40% 30% 7%
19 LAUDON Konrad - - - 1% 9% 37% 53%
20 YUAN Kevin - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
21 ISSA Naoum P. - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
22 VEDRE Neil 2% 18% 41% 31% 8% - -
23 BARNES William 1% 6% 22% 36% 28% 8%
24 ALTSCHUL James - 3% 15% 35% 35% 13%
25 FARIDI Imran 7% 27% 38% 22% 5% -
26 KAUFFMAN Alex 10% 31% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
27 HENDERSON Jack 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
28 GAJKOWSKI Leif 25% 47% 25% 3% - -
29 TAN Ethan 3% 25% 42% 25% 5% -
30 PERRY Gwydion 15% 45% 31% 7% 1% - -
31 DEGA Brandon 34% 50% 15% - - -
32 MARTIN William 39% 42% 16% 3% - -
33 BROCKMEYER Tyler - - 4% 23% 41% 27% 5%
34 UNG Kai - 1% 8% 28% 42% 20% 2%
35 CUNNINGHAM-SNELSON Aahil 2% 17% 39% 31% 10% 1%
36 HILL Quillan - 1% 14% 60% 24% 1%
37 BAILEY Conner 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
38 SHARP Asher 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% - -
39 HERRERA aragon 1% 9% 32% 40% 18% 1%
40 SANABRIA Enrique 1% 10% 32% 41% 16% 1%
41 WAGNER Elijah 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4% -
42 HUA Michael 1% 17% 41% 33% 8% - -
43 BROWN Oscar 4% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
44 BARROWS Hunter 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
45 LU Jiachen 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
46 JOHNSON Eli 11% 43% 42% 4% - -
47 SALMAN Hamzah 7% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
48 LIU Alvin 4% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
49 PARKILA Lukas 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
50 WANG William M. 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
51 XIONG Zerui - 3% 16% 33% 34% 14% 1%
52 PARADIS Emmit 70% 26% 4% - - - -
53 TURNER Benjamin 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
54 CHEN Jeffrey 45% 42% 12% 1% - - -
55 JI Eric 5% 29% 44% 19% 3% - -
56 KIM David 67% 28% 4% - - -
57 RICKERT Michael A. 3% 28% 44% 22% 3% - -
58 FORTI Paul 7% 26% 36% 24% 7% 1%
59 KO Samuel 9% 36% 39% 14% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.