The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Jersey Clash RYC/RJCC& Y8

Y-14 Women's Foil

Sunday, October 15, 2023 at 8:00 AM

SportsPlex at Metuchen - Metuchen, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HARRIS Julia 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
2 DIMATULAC Elise Ann 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
3 JOO Natalie 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
3 WANG Joanna 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 85%
5 LI Savannah 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 4%
6 FENG Audrey 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 32%
7 KRAHE Annika 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 32%
8 HUANG Sophie 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 25% 4%
9 YACOBUCCI Nadia 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
10 CAI Ilana 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 25%
11 JANSSEN Juliane 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1%
12 MCSHERRY Kayla 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 8%
13 ORRINGER Lottie 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8%
14 MCFARLANE Asha 100% 100% 98% 81% 43% 8%
15 KIM Claire 100% 99% 91% 59% 20% 2%
16 LIU Caydence 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
17 ROBERTS Anastasia 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 31% 2%
18 EYER Brooke 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 4%
19 REZA Fukaina 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 21% 2%
20 NICUDEMUS Bryella 100% 98% 83% 47% 15% 2% -
21 HUSSIAN Annabelle 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
22 ORBÉ-AUSTIN Maya 100% 97% 76% 36% 8% 1%
23 PEDERSEN Clara 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% 1%
24 PELLE Lia 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7% -
25 ZAMLYNNY Maya 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
26 SHANG Arianna 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% - -
27 ORBE-AUSTIN Nia 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
28 OLAWOYE Jadesola 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
29 KIM Claire 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 4%
30 CAVANAGH Emma 100% 98% 80% 43% 11% 1%
31 ARRAIANO Olivia R. 100% 100% 94% 67% 26% 4%
32 HUNG Samara 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% - -
33 ZHANG Zoey 100% 98% 84% 55% 23% 5% -
34 CHEN Sophie 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 8%
35 BEKIYANTS Elizabeth 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
36 OTTAVIANO Maris 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
37 WAN Celine 100% 92% 60% 21% 3% -
38 KANG Annabella 100% 60% 16% 2% - -
39 CHOI Cara 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% - -
40 TOROPOVA Arina 100% 97% 82% 52% 21% 4% -
41 ALLEN Sophia 100% 95% 68% 29% 7% 1% -
42 BALIN Sophia 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% - -
43 YOUM Amelia 100% 77% 36% 10% 1% -
44 BULAVA Tatyana 100% 91% 59% 23% 5% -
45 KONG Genevieve 100% 76% 26% 4% - -
46 MACKINTOSH Quinn 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 5% -
47 BAULIN Zoya 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
48 GUSTAFSSON Anna 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1% -
49 VACCARO Lillian 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% - -
50 FEDER Acadia 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 3% -
51 MANGLANI Maya 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5% -
52 BENTLEY Amelia 100% 58% 17% 2% - -
53 KOESTERS Florentine 100% 45% 9% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.