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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Tiger Open 2023

Div III Mixed Épée

Sunday, October 15, 2023 at 12:30 PM

Hendrix Student Center - Clemson, SC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FAN Yuchen - 5% 21% 40% 30% 3%
2 BIRT David (Dave) L. - - - 3% 26% 71%
3 SINGH Arnav - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 31%
3 RAVI Arjun - - - 6% 39% 55%
5 LIU dylan Y. - - - 3% 16% 42% 40%
6 MARSHALL Wesley - - - - 2% 20% 78%
7 MALONE Jacob - 3% 16% 32% 32% 15% 2%
8 KRIEGER Jack - 3% 16% 37% 35% 9%
9 LE Kevin - - 6% 28% 47% 18%
10 LEE Aaron - 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
11 CHUNG Joseph - 1% 9% 27% 39% 22% 2%
12 COLLINS Andrew M. - - 3% 16% 44% 37%
13 ILENRE Roni - - 5% 29% 45% 20%
14 HE Lingyun Matthew - 4% 19% 41% 32% 5%
15 ARZT Nicholas - - 8% 40% 41% 11%
16 GREEN Marvin 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
17 CHRISTMAN Ethan - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
18 TATSAPAUGH Jonah - - 3% 20% 46% 32%
19 SANDERS Charlotte 2% 16% 36% 34% 12% 1%
20 NORWOOD Malik - - 5% 21% 39% 29% 6%
21 ASBY Will - 1% 11% 31% 37% 18% 2%
22 PELLI Madeleine 12% 33% 34% 16% 4% -
23 MILLER Jonathan 1% 6% 21% 37% 28% 7%
23 CHA Patrick 1% 10% 32% 39% 17% 2%
25 HAWKINS Sophia 4% 31% 41% 20% 4% -
26 COLLIER Baiden C. - 1% 6% 23% 38% 27% 6%
27 HUA daniel 1% 7% 30% 41% 19% 3% -
28 BELL Michael S. 1% 8% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
29 CARCATERRA Theodore 4% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1%
30 FERRARO Nicholas 14% 38% 33% 12% 2% -
31 MCGINNISS Andrew 4% 27% 43% 22% 4% -
32 CHUNG Jesse 2% 13% 37% 36% 12% 1%
33 WATKINS james 1% 11% 39% 35% 12% 2% -
34 LANDERS Sarah 2% 24% 41% 26% 7% 1%
35 MEIER Nicholas M. 3% 19% 37% 30% 11% 2% -
36 YI Jonathan - 2% 16% 37% 33% 11% 1%
37 ARMES Maggie 20% 42% 29% 8% 1% - -
38 HERRICK Kerry K. 3% 20% 40% 31% 6% -
39 GEISSLER Maximilian 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
40 HUDSON Tyler 7% 29% 38% 21% 5% -
41 DOTY Matthew 7% 33% 45% 13% 1% -
42 HAMBRICK Addison 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
43 MCGUIRE Meghan 5% 26% 41% 24% 5% -
44 SONG Vivian 10% 54% 32% 4% - -
45 BERNSTEIN Leo 33% 46% 19% 2% - -
46 BAIK Sean - 5% 22% 41% 27% 5%
47 REID Simon 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1%
48 HOLT Tayla 50% 39% 9% 1% - -
49 HOLMES Sullivan 39% 42% 17% 3% - -
50 LEVERETT Corrina 51% 37% 10% 1% - - -
51 MOY Eva 71% 26% 3% - - - -
52 FALL Isatou 2% 24% 40% 26% 7% 1% -
53 HAZEL Susan L. 7% 32% 42% 18% 2% -
54 KINSELLA John 9% 54% 30% 6% 1% - -
55 HICKS Matthew 30% 49% 19% 3% - -
56 VAZQUEZ Marco 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 7% -
57 LEE janice 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.