Tiger Open 2023

Div III Mixed Épée

Sunday, October 15, 2023 at 12:30 PM

Hendrix Student Center - Clemson, SC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FAN Yuchen 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 3%
2 BIRT David (Dave) L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 71%
3 SINGH Arnav 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 31%
3 RAVI Arjun 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 55%
5 LIU dylan Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
6 MARSHALL Wesley 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78%
7 MALONE Jacob 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
8 KRIEGER Jack 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 9%
9 LE Kevin 100% 100% 100% 94% 66% 18%
10 LEE Aaron 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 16% 2%
11 CHUNG Joseph 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 24% 2%
12 COLLINS Andrew M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 37%
13 ILENRE Roni 100% 100% 100% 95% 65% 20%
14 HE Lingyun Matthew 100% 100% 96% 77% 36% 5%
15 ARZT Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 92% 52% 11%
16 GREEN Marvin 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
17 CHRISTMAN Ethan 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 43%
18 TATSAPAUGH Jonah 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 32%
19 SANDERS Charlotte 100% 98% 82% 46% 12% 1%
20 NORWOOD Malik 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 6%
21 ASBY Will 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 2%
22 PELLI Madeleine 100% 88% 54% 21% 4% -
23 MILLER Jonathan 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 7%
23 CHA Patrick 100% 99% 89% 58% 19% 2%
25 HAWKINS Sophia 100% 96% 65% 24% 4% -
26 COLLIER Baiden C. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
27 HUA daniel 100% 99% 92% 63% 22% 3% -
28 BELL Michael S. 100% 99% 91% 63% 27% 6% -
29 CARCATERRA Theodore 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
30 FERRARO Nicholas 100% 86% 48% 14% 2% -
31 MCGINNISS Andrew 100% 96% 69% 26% 4% -
32 CHUNG Jesse 100% 98% 85% 48% 12% 1%
33 WATKINS james 100% 99% 88% 49% 14% 2% -
34 LANDERS Sarah 100% 98% 74% 33% 7% 1%
35 MEIER Nicholas M. 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 2% -
36 YI Jonathan 100% 100% 98% 82% 45% 12% 1%
37 ARMES Maggie 100% 80% 39% 9% 1% - -
38 HERRICK Kerry K. 100% 97% 77% 37% 6% -
39 GEISSLER Maximilian 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
40 HUDSON Tyler 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% -
41 DOTY Matthew 100% 93% 60% 15% 1% -
42 HAMBRICK Addison 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
43 MCGUIRE Meghan 100% 95% 69% 29% 5% -
44 SONG Vivian 100% 90% 36% 4% - -
45 BERNSTEIN Leo 100% 67% 21% 2% - -
46 BAIK Sean 100% 100% 95% 72% 31% 5%
47 REID Simon 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1%
48 HOLT Tayla 100% 50% 10% 1% - -
49 HOLMES Sullivan 100% 61% 19% 3% - -
50 LEVERETT Corrina 100% 49% 12% 2% - - -
51 MOY Eva 100% 29% 4% - - - -
52 FALL Isatou 100% 98% 74% 34% 8% 1% -
53 HAZEL Susan L. 100% 93% 62% 19% 2% -
54 KINSELLA John 100% 91% 37% 7% 1% - -
55 HICKS Matthew 100% 70% 22% 3% - -
56 VAZQUEZ Marco 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 7% -
57 LEE janice 100% 90% 58% 24% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.