Albert Chikayev Memorial ROC/RYC

Div II Men's Saber

Sunday, September 15, 2019 at 4:00 PM

Hackensack, NJ - Hackensack, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	GANTA Vijay	1%	9%	34%	38%	16%	2%
2	MOSKOWITZ Mason C.	-	-	3%	12%	29%	36%	18%
3	LEVIN Mark A.	-	5%	20%	36%	29%	9%
3	LEE Jude H.	4%	28%	42%	21%	4%	-
5	GINIS Nathan	-	-	5%	24%	45%	26%
6	GILLIGAN Wolff	-	-	3%	13%	31%	37%	16%
7	BARTOLO Domenic V.	-	2%	12%	31%	37%	17%
8	CHAN Matthew	-	2%	15%	36%	35%	12%
9	GHOSH Tuhin	-	1%	4%	16%	33%	33%	13%
10	YEN Preston	-	-	5%	24%	45%	26%
11	CHAN Daniel	2%	15%	33%	32%	15%	2%
12	EPSTEIN Henry N.	-	3%	13%	29%	33%	18%	4%
13	DEWEY Charles J.	4%	17%	31%	29%	14%	4%	-
14	GEORGE Daniel	8%	27%	35%	22%	7%	1%	-
15	NOBLE Colin	2%	10%	26%	32%	22%	7%	1%
16	HUANG Tyler T.	1%	6%	21%	33%	27%	11%	2%
17	TANG Brendan J.	-	-	2%	11%	29%	38%	20%
18	CHO Brandon	-	4%	20%	37%	30%	9%
19	TEVEBAUGH Andrew	1%	5%	19%	33%	29%	12%	2%
20	WILSON Jude	-	1%	10%	31%	40%	18%
21	TANG Albert	-	4%	16%	30%	30%	15%	3%
22	HONG Vincent Q.	1%	7%	22%	33%	25%	10%	2%
23	DIPIETRO Christopher J.	1%	10%	26%	33%	22%	7%	1%
24	WU MENGKE	2%	13%	28%	31%	19%	6%	1%
25	SANDERS Samuel B.	2%	11%	27%	33%	20%	6%	1%
26	JUN Ryan	5%	23%	36%	26%	9%	1%
27	HUANG Ethan F.	2%	14%	31%	33%	17%	3%
28	TIERNO Thomas J.	63%	31%	5%	-	-	-
29	FISK Ethan	4%	30%	42%	20%	4%	-
30	REN Richard	10%	29%	34%	20%	6%	1%	-
31	CHAUDHURI Eeshaan A.	10%	29%	34%	20%	6%	1%	-
32	PATTON Colin T.	< 1%	6%	26%	42%	22%	4%
33	BOURGHOL Matthew	1%	6%	20%	33%	27%	11%	2%
34	NEVILLE James	15%	35%	32%	14%	3%	-	-
35	PANDEY Neil	5%	21%	34%	27%	11%	2%	-
36	LAMHAOUAR Ryan	31%	50%	17%	2%	-	-
37	ELIN Adam E.	8%	26%	35%	23%	8%	1%	-
38	KREGER Evan	29%	41%	23%	6%	1%	-
39	MASSO Anthony	23%	42%	26%	7%	1%	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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