October NAC

Div II Men's Saber

Thursday, October 26, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Orange County Convention Center - Orlando, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MCCARTHY Gabriel - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 24%
2 GREENBAUM Ian L. - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
3 WOODWARD Dylan P. - - 1% 6% 29% 50% 13%
3 CHON Collin - - 3% 14% 33% 35% 14%
5 ROBINSON William - - 3% 13% 31% 37% 16%
6 KIM ELIJAH - - 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
7 BYON Julian - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
8 GONG Jerry - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 2%
9 SKARBONKIEWICZ Maksymilian A. - 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 5%
10 SUGIURA Samuel - 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 10%
11 ERMAKOV Semeon - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9% -
12 GLOZMAN Justin - - 3% 15% 34% 36% 12%
13 DECK Tyson - 3% 16% 38% 35% 8% -
14 WANG Yiyu Will - 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
15 HWANG Jayden - 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5%
16 SHANAHAN Adam E. - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 26%
17 CHEONG Heonjun - - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
18 KILGALLEN William - - 3% 14% 35% 36% 12%
19 HUANG Alexander C. - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
20 HUANG Alex F. - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
21 MCGUIRE Christian - 1% 6% 24% 42% 28%
22 FERGUSON Constantine 4% 17% 32% 29% 14% 4% -
23 MUNGUIA Nathan - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 16%
24 LUHAN Zachary - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
25 REHM Liam 5% 37% 38% 16% 3% < 1% -
26 BUKOWSKI Broghan J. 1% 8% 28% 38% 21% 4% -
27 POSY Daniel 1% 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
28 YANG Dylan - 2% 11% 30% 38% 19%
29 KIM Theodore 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
30 BOULAIS Andrew D. 1% 9% 24% 32% 24% 9% 1%
31 LEE Noah - 1% 5% 18% 35% 31% 10%
32 SHANKWILER Christopher - 1% 6% 20% 33% 29% 10%
33 KALPATHY Rohit - - 5% 22% 37% 28% 7%
34 NG Jonathan - 1% 5% 19% 34% 31% 11%
34 HU Zhao Xuanyu 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1%
36 BOSITA Carson - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
37 DEPEW Spencer - - 4% 18% 39% 31% 7%
38 CHEN Jonathan - 2% 10% 25% 33% 22% 6%
39 AUTREY Adrien 6% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1% -
40 AKS Ari - 4% 19% 38% 31% 8%
41 DUDNICK Christian - 8% 29% 38% 21% 4%
42 WANG Justin 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 5%
43 HEINTZ Evin Y. - - - - 2% 19% 79%
44 LI Yiwei - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
45 MATTOO Surya 1% 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1%
46 MAHAPATRA SAMARTH - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
47 FIELDS Matthew S. 1% 10% 30% 38% 17% 3% -
48 KATZ Ryan - 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
49 TASIKAS Stylianos 1% 8% 28% 38% 22% 4%
49 SO Preston 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1%
51 HOLMES Aiden G. - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
52 LUCAS Hayden 1% 12% 32% 36% 17% 3%
53 GUFFEY Christopher - - 1% 6% 25% 42% 25%
54 ZEWDA Kebron - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
55 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. - 4% 19% 35% 29% 10% 1%
56 SAVOY Luca - - 1% 9% 27% 41% 22%
56 CAZANA Carlos - 1% 10% 31% 41% 16% 1%
58 KANG Evan - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
59 WANG Weiyun 34% 43% 19% 4% - - -
60 DELARUE NELSON Y. - 1% 6% 23% 40% 27% 2%
61 GREMILLION Obadiah 1% 12% 32% 33% 17% 4% -
62 MEDVINSKY Daniel 1% 7% 21% 32% 27% 11% 2%
63 CONTRACTOR Cyrus 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% -
64 TAUER Sam 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% - -
65 HERRERA aragon 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
66 LIU Lawrence - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 17%
67 ZHANG Yupeng 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
68 DENBROEDER Ronald (Mackie) - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
69 RIGGINS Littleton K. 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 8%
70 FELDMAN Drew 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2%
71 MCMANIGAL Matthew (Matt McManigal) L. - - - 2% 15% 43% 41%
72 LIN Steve - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
73 JONES Graham H. - - - - 2% 29% 69%
74 MAY Griffin M. - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
75 HUBLALL Ethan 3% 14% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
76 BARRIOS Diego 1% 9% 29% 39% 19% 3% -
77 TSE Aiden J - 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8%
78 HUNG Samuel 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
79 CASTILLO Manuel - - - 5% 27% 48% 19%
80 SUN Andrew 23% 46% 25% 6% 1% - -
81 SUBA Lucas 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 2% -
82 DESSAUER Tobyn M. 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 2%
83 BOUKHTIN Maxim 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
84 AN Damon - 3% 14% 31% 33% 17% 3%
85 KIM Kendrick - 5% 27% 38% 23% 6% 1%
86 FENKER William M. - - 2% 11% 29% 39% 19%
87 HOLZ Lucas 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
87 ZHAO Lucas 1% 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
89 GERSTMANN Max T. - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5%
90 HUANG Zekai - 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
90 SHI Ivan - 5% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
92 ZHU Yuchen (Kevin) - - 3% 14% 36% 36% 11%
92 TIAGI Daniel - 4% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2%
94 KO Zuriel 2% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2% -
95 LAUB William 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
96 YAN Kevin - 3% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
97 ATWOOD Griffin - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
98 DUPREE Thomas - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
99 WANG ANDREW CHANG - 1% 12% 32% 35% 17% 3%
100 FIRSTMAN William B. 9% 33% 37% 17% 3% - -
101 HARDISON Terry (Reno) - - 5% 21% 38% 29% 7%
102 HRISTOV Kris 2% 16% 34% 31% 14% 3% -
103 HUTTON Sawyer 23% 43% 27% 7% 1% - -
104 ZHOU Grant 2% 16% 35% 31% 13% 2% -
105 MCDONALD Finn 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
106 MATTOO Deven 1% 13% 32% 33% 17% 4% -
106 MUNGOVAN Matthew 4% 22% 39% 27% 7% 1% -
108 NGO Maximus 3% 19% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
109 BROCKMEYER Tyler - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
110 GOLDIN Lucca - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
110 VILEMAITIS Tadas 9% 51% 31% 7% 1% - -
110 PENG Chris 43% 41% 14% 2% - - -
113 LIGH Checed 10% 33% 36% 17% 3% - -
114 ELANGO Arjun 55% 35% 9% 1% - - -
115 BARROWS Hunter 30% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
116 ZLATINSKI Jason 6% 26% 36% 23% 8% 1% -
117 VAROQUA Nalby 1% 18% 38% 31% 11% 1%
118 ZHOU James Y. 2% 20% 39% 29% 9% 1%
119 BOWEI Yang 5% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
120 DUDNICK Christian P. 3% 21% 38% 28% 9% 1%
121 WANG HongXi 4% 24% 37% 25% 9% 2% -
122 TIAGI George - 5% 21% 34% 28% 11% 2%
123 CHAN Elliott 52% 37% 10% 1% - - -
124 DE SOUZA CABRERO Yorrick 12% 31% 33% 18% 6% 1% -
125 BALLOU Johnathan 6% 27% 39% 23% 5% - -
126 O'LOUGHLIN Quinlan 18% 39% 31% 10% 1% - -
127 SHANKAR Karthik 19% 40% 30% 10% 1% -
128 BHASKAR Dhananjay K. 3% 17% 35% 32% 12% 2% -
129 HO Jacob 12% 34% 34% 15% 3% - -
130 HENDERSON Jack 10% 37% 35% 14% 3% - -
131 HENDERSON Lucas 18% 38% 30% 12% 2% -
132 FERTIL Ethan 72% 24% 3% - - -
133 FANG Eason 4% 19% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
134 VAN NIMWEGEN Nicholas - 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
135 AO Christopher 19% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
136 LIN Felix 3% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
137 XU Ivan 36% 45% 16% 3% - - -
138 RODDENBERRY Steven 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
139 SILVA Steven 22% 40% 27% 9% 2% - -
140 XU Justin 21% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -
141 KEIPER Benjamin 16% 36% 31% 14% 3% - -
142 ROSADO Sebastian 74% 24% 2% - - - -
143 KMETA-SUAREZ Graysen 38% 42% 17% 3% - - -
144 REMETE Tomas 64% 30% 6% - - -
145 ZHOU GUANLIN 12% 41% 36% 10% 1% - -
146 MARTIN Quincy 77% 22% 1% - - - -
147 CUNLIFFE Sebastian 64% 30% 5% - - - -
147 PAVLENISHVILI Luke 50% 37% 11% 2% - - -
149 TIERNO Thomas J. 6% 30% 37% 20% 6% 1% -
149 JANES Cole T. 14% 47% 30% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.