October NAC

Div II Men's Saber

Thursday, October 26, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Orange County Convention Center - Orlando, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
2 GREENBAUM Ian L. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
3 WOODWARD Dylan P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 64% 13%
3 CHON Collin 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
5 ROBINSON William 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
6 KIM ELIJAH 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
7 BYON Julian 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 29% 6%
8 GONG Jerry 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 17% 2%
9 SKARBONKIEWICZ Maksymilian A. 100% 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 5%
10 SUGIURA Samuel 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
11 ERMAKOV Semeon 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 9% -
12 GLOZMAN Justin 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 12%
13 DECK Tyson 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 8% -
14 WANG Yiyu Will 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 11% 1%
15 HWANG Jayden 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 5%
16 SHANAHAN Adam E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
17 CHEONG Heonjun 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
18 KILGALLEN William 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
19 HUANG Alexander C. 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
20 HUANG Alex F. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
21 MCGUIRE Christian 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
22 FERGUSON Constantine 100% 96% 79% 47% 18% 4% -
23 MUNGUIA Nathan 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 16%
24 LUHAN Zachary 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
25 REHM Liam 100% 95% 57% 19% 4% < 1% -
26 BUKOWSKI Broghan J. 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 4% -
27 POSY Daniel 100% 99% 93% 68% 31% 8% 1%
28 YANG Dylan 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
29 KIM Theodore 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
30 BOULAIS Andrew D. 100% 99% 90% 66% 34% 10% 1%
31 LEE Noah 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 10%
32 SHANKWILER Christopher 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
33 KALPATHY Rohit 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 7%
34 NG Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 41% 11%
34 HU Zhao Xuanyu 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% 1%
36 BOSITA Carson 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 17%
37 DEPEW Spencer 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 7%
38 CHEN Jonathan 100% 100% 98% 87% 62% 29% 6%
39 AUTREY Adrien 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
40 AKS Ari 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 8%
41 DUDNICK Christian 100% 100% 91% 63% 24% 4%
42 WANG Justin 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
43 HEINTZ Evin Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 79%
44 LI Yiwei 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 11%
45 MATTOO Surya 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%
46 MAHAPATRA SAMARTH 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
47 FIELDS Matthew S. 100% 99% 90% 59% 21% 3% -
48 KATZ Ryan 100% 100% 93% 68% 30% 5%
49 TASIKAS Stylianos 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
49 SO Preston 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
51 HOLMES Aiden G. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
52 LUCAS Hayden 100% 99% 88% 55% 19% 3%
53 GUFFEY Christopher 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
54 ZEWDA Kebron 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 38% 9%
55 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
56 SAVOY Luca 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 62% 22%
56 CAZANA Carlos 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 17% 1%
58 KANG Evan 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
59 WANG Weiyun 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
60 DELARUE NELSON Y. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 30% 2%
61 GREMILLION Obadiah 100% 99% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
62 MEDVINSKY Daniel 100% 99% 92% 71% 39% 13% 2%
63 CONTRACTOR Cyrus 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% -
64 TAUER Sam 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% - -
65 HERRERA aragon 100% 99% 89% 64% 30% 7% 1%
66 LIU Lawrence 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17%
67 ZHANG Yupeng 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 4% -
68 DENBROEDER Ronald (Mackie) 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
69 RIGGINS Littleton K. 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
70 FELDMAN Drew 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
71 MCMANIGAL Matthew (Matt McManigal) L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
72 LIN Steve 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
73 JONES Graham H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 69%
74 MAY Griffin M. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
75 HUBLALL Ethan 100% 97% 84% 54% 23% 6% 1%
76 BARRIOS Diego 100% 99% 90% 61% 22% 3% -
77 TSE Aiden J 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
78 HUNG Samuel 100% 99% 92% 67% 33% 9% 1%
79 CASTILLO Manuel 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67% 19%
80 SUN Andrew 100% 77% 32% 6% 1% - -
81 SUBA Lucas 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
82 DESSAUER Tobyn M. 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 2%
83 BOUKHTIN Maxim 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3%
84 AN Damon 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
85 KIM Kendrick 100% 100% 95% 68% 30% 7% 1%
86 FENKER William M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
87 HOLZ Lucas 100% 94% 72% 37% 12% 2% -
87 ZHAO Lucas 100% 99% 92% 64% 26% 6% -
89 GERSTMANN Max T. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5%
90 HUANG Zekai 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
90 SHI Ivan 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
92 ZHU Yuchen (Kevin) 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 46% 11%
92 TIAGI Daniel 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2%
94 KO Zuriel 100% 98% 82% 48% 15% 2% -
95 LAUB William 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
96 YAN Kevin 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 18% 2%
97 ATWOOD Griffin 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 2%
98 DUPREE Thomas 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
99 WANG ANDREW CHANG 100% 100% 99% 86% 55% 20% 3%
100 FIRSTMAN William B. 100% 91% 58% 21% 4% - -
101 HARDISON Terry (Reno) 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7%
102 HRISTOV Kris 100% 98% 82% 48% 17% 3% -
103 HUTTON Sawyer 100% 77% 34% 8% 1% - -
104 ZHOU Grant 100% 98% 81% 47% 15% 3% -
105 MCDONALD Finn 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
106 MATTOO Deven 100% 99% 86% 54% 21% 5% -
106 MUNGOVAN Matthew 100% 96% 74% 35% 8% 1% -
108 NGO Maximus 100% 97% 79% 44% 15% 3% -
109 BROCKMEYER Tyler 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
110 GOLDIN Lucca 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
110 VILEMAITIS Tadas 100% 91% 39% 8% 1% - -
110 PENG Chris 100% 57% 16% 2% - - -
113 LIGH Checed 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
114 ELANGO Arjun 100% 45% 10% 1% - - -
115 BARROWS Hunter 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% - -
116 ZLATINSKI Jason 100% 94% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
117 VAROQUA Nalby 100% 99% 81% 43% 12% 1%
118 ZHOU James Y. 100% 98% 78% 39% 10% 1%
119 BOWEI Yang 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 1%
120 DUDNICK Christian P. 100% 97% 76% 38% 10% 1%
121 WANG HongXi 100% 96% 73% 36% 10% 2% -
122 TIAGI George 100% 100% 94% 74% 40% 12% 2%
123 CHAN Elliott 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -
124 DE SOUZA CABRERO Yorrick 100% 88% 58% 25% 6% 1% -
125 BALLOU Johnathan 100% 94% 67% 28% 6% - -
126 O'LOUGHLIN Quinlan 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% - -
127 SHANKAR Karthik 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% -
128 BHASKAR Dhananjay K. 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2% -
129 HO Jacob 100% 88% 53% 19% 4% - -
130 HENDERSON Jack 100% 90% 53% 18% 3% - -
131 HENDERSON Lucas 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% -
132 FERTIL Ethan 100% 28% 3% - - -
133 FANG Eason 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
134 VAN NIMWEGEN Nicholas 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
135 AO Christopher 100% 81% 43% 14% 3% - -
136 LIN Felix 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 4% -
137 XU Ivan 100% 64% 19% 3% - - -
138 RODDENBERRY Steven 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
139 SILVA Steven 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -
140 XU Justin 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% - -
141 KEIPER Benjamin 100% 84% 49% 17% 3% - -
142 ROSADO Sebastian 100% 26% 3% - - - -
143 KMETA-SUAREZ Graysen 100% 62% 21% 4% - - -
144 REMETE Tomas 100% 36% 6% - - -
145 ZHOU GUANLIN 100% 88% 47% 11% 1% - -
146 MARTIN Quincy 100% 23% 1% - - - -
147 CUNLIFFE Sebastian 100% 36% 6% 1% - - -
147 PAVLENISHVILI Luke 100% 50% 12% 2% - - -
149 TIERNO Thomas J. 100% 94% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
149 JANES Cole T. 100% 86% 39% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.