October NAC

Div II Women's Foil

Thursday, October 26, 2023 at 1:00 PM

Orange County Convention Center - Orlando, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Renee 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 38%
2 SHENG Chuxi 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 10%
3 DU Hannah 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 21%
3 WANG SIQI 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 11%
5 GE Yu Ming 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
6 PAULUS Sloane E. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 10%
7 LI Yuhe 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
8 YU Jane 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
9 SHA Yi Ling 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
10 DONG Angela 100% 99% 87% 54% 18% 2%
11 LEVY Avery 100% 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2%
12 WU Renee 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50% 9%
13 OH Ceana 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 26%
14 ZHANG Eunice 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 7%
15 GREEN Marisa 100% 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1%
16 ZHANG Ivy 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 3% -
17 CHOW Annabelle 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
18 COOPER Piper W. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
19 OLIVEIRA Lavinia M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
19 WEBB Ella 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 45%
21 BIODROWICZ Julia 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 28%
22 WANG Sabrina 100% 100% 91% 56% 15% 2% < 1%
23 KOSTELNY Alexis 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
24 SHMUKLER Maria 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5%
25 SAIFEE Lamya 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 13%
26 LUONG Tiffany C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
27 HAN Crystal 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 6%
28 WANG CAROL 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 24% 4%
29 TRACZ Calleigh D. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6%
30 LAI Sophia 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40% 7%
31 QUINN Anna 100% 98% 73% 33% 8% 1% -
32 ZHANG Selena 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 18%
33 ZELDIN Nadia 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 2%
34 FIELD Julianna 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 9%
35 NIKOLIC Alexandra 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
36 ROZPEDOWSKI Claire 100% 100% 98% 82% 47% 16% 2%
37 FENG Audrey 100% 86% 51% 17% 3% - -
37 GANDLURI Sreehitha 100% 100% 95% 70% 30% 6% -
39 MATOS Lívia 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
40 HAN Ashley 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 14%
41 WANG Celine S. 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 5%
42 WEI Angela 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
43 DANIELYANTS Gabriela 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
44 RICHARD Dominique 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 8% 1%
45 TURNER Stephanie E. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
46 CHENG Isa 100% 79% 36% 9% 1% - -
47 MARKOVSKY Nina 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 14% 2%
48 NEUMAN Sophie 100% 99% 89% 58% 23% 5% -
49 NELSON Tanya 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
50 DOMINGUEZ Erika 100% 100% 92% 64% 28% 6% 1%
51 MARTIRE Alessandra 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
52 HOBSON Ava 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 24% 4%
53 LEE emily 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 11%
54 SHERLOCK Gabriella 100% 86% 47% 14% 2% -
55 BEAVER Ava 100% 100% 95% 73% 37% 9% 1%
56 CHEN Jephanie Y. 100% 93% 55% 17% 3% - -
57 FELLMAN Sara 100% 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 2%
58 HAFEZ Tahiyah 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 5%
59 SONG Erin 100% 71% 27% 5% - - -
60 RICHARD Clara 100% 100% 85% 44% 10% 1% -
61 LIU Jingyi (Eva) 100% 99% 89% 51% 16% 2% -
62 PAULUS Isabella 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 5% -
63 YIM Rachael 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
64 DEBLAERE Caecie M. 100% 98% 59% 17% 2% - -
65 GADIYARAM Sushama 100% 74% 29% 6% - -
66 WANG Yudi 100% 98% 85% 50% 16% 2%
67 MEYER Claudia 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
67 CHOI ERIN 100% 39% 6% - - - -
69 OJEDA Andrea 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
70 OWENS Elise 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 2% -
71 ISAACSON Mary Beth 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% - -
71 SONG Jenna 100% 97% 82% 48% 17% 3% -
73 HWANG Chanel 100% 78% 35% 8% 1% -
74 TAYLOR Gabrielle 100% 87% 37% 8% 1% - -
75 MENDEZ SCHIK Hannah 100% 92% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
76 BABER Eshaal 100% 72% 31% 8% 1% - -
77 BROWN Lily 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3% -
78 SHIN Jaelynn 100% 66% 24% 5% - - -
79 CHAKRAPANI Ila 100% 70% 19% 2% - - -
80 WANG Sophia 100% 100% 95% 69% 28% 5% -
81 FRIEND Sophie 100% 33% 5% - - - -
82 CHANG Janelle 100% 56% 11% 1% - - -
83 LAWRENCE Nia 100% 67% 24% 4% - -
84 HERNANDEZ Veronica L. 100% 93% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
85 BEN YAHMED Farah 100% 96% 71% 31% 6% - -
86 ORBE-AUSTIN Nia 100% 20% 2% - - - -
87 BALCE Cyril 100% 88% 53% 20% 4% - -
88 WANG Kelsey 100% 11% - - - - -
89 MALVESTUTO Evelyn 100% 33% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.