October NAC

Div I Women's Saber

Thursday, October 26, 2023 at 2:00 PM

Orange County Convention Center - Orlando, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TARTAKOVSKY Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
2 SHOMAN Jenna 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 62%
3 LINDER Kara E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
3 KIM Zoe 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 47%
5 SKARBONKIEWICZ Magda 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78%
6 FOX-GITOMER Chloe N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 75%
7 JOHNSON Honor 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61%
8 KONG Vera 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
9 WILLIAMS Jadeyn E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 33%
9 POSSICK Lola P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
11 FREEDMAN Janna N. 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 30% 3%
12 CHAMBERLAIN Maia C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
13 SULLIVAN Siobhan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
14 BURKE Nora S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 63%
15 KER Grace 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 6%
16 SHEARER Natalie E. 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 10% 1%
17 LEE Alexandra B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 56% 12%
18 GREENBAUM Atara R. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 38%
19 HWANG Gabriela M. 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 12% 1%
20 DELSOIN Chelsea C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 13%
20 KOVACS Sophia 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
22 MCKEE Brynnley 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 11% 1%
23 MILLER Sky 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 85% 24%
24 TONG Kunling 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 38% 8%
25 STRZALKOWSKI Aleksandra (Ola) M. 100% 100% 99% 91% 57% 11%
26 LIU Sophie 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 6%
27 ANDRES Charmaine G. 100% 99% 88% 50% 12% 1%
28 WILLIAMS Chloe C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 15%
29 JUNG Irene 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20% 1%
29 PERRIER Eleonore 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 5%
31 WOZNIAK Dagmara I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 60%
32 OISHI Megumi 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 28%
33 XIAO julie 100% 100% 94% 71% 29% 5% < 1%
34 ANGLADE Alexis C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
35 LU Vivian Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
36 NAZLYMOV Tatiana F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66% 15%
37 LAURI Keira 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% < 1% -
38 FOUR-GARCIA Madison 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
39 SHEALY Maggie 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 31%
40 ENGELMAN-SANZ Madeline A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 17%
41 LIN Audrey J. 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 33% 3%
42 TABANGAY Heartlyn 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1% -
43 YANG Ashley M. 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 1%
44 KIM Marley I. 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
45 ANDREYEVA Darya 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 20% 2%
46 JOHNSON Lydia 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
47 GOUHIN Chloe 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
47 TZOU Alexandra 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 14%
49 ERIKSON Kira R. 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
49 YANG Angelina LeLe 100% 99% 88% 56% 18% 2%
51 MIKA Veronica 100% 100% 98% 87% 52% 11%
52 SATHYANATH Kailing 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 4%
53 HILD Nisha 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 42% 7%
54 LU Elaine 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 2%
55 BOIS Adele 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46% 10%
56 FEIG Sela 100% 76% 36% 10% 1% - -
57 FERNANDEZ Martina 100% 95% 73% 35% 7% - -
58 DRAGON Rainer 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
59 HUAI Delilah 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 5% -
60 FESTA Carina 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% -
61 HARRISON Imogen N. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
62 ANTHONY Alexia B. 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 1% -
63 HE Charlotte 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
64 YAO Rainie 100% 78% 33% 7% 1% - -
65 SHI Cathleen 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 3%
66 CHEN Ashley 100% 99% 93% 70% 36% 9% 1%
67 JOHNSON Dagny L. 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% -
68 ANDRES Katherine A. 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 30% 5%
69 ALCEBAR Kayla 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 7% -
70 MEDVINSKY Alexandra 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% - -
71 LIU Zhi Jun 100% 89% 53% 18% 3% -
72 BEVACQUA Aria F. 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4%
73 MARYASH Samantha 100% 88% 53% 17% 2% -
74 CHUNG Hailey 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% - -
75 SAYLES Nina R. 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 5%
75 VADASZ Ibla P. 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16% 2%
77 HAMBAZAZA Liisa 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
78 MARTURANO Bridget H. 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 5% -
78 PAUL Lila 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 22% 2%
80 GRULICH Rayaana 100% 87% 50% 16% 3% - -
81 CHEN Xiaohan 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 7%
82 SCHIMINOVICH Sophia I. 100% 100% 96% 79% 40% 5% -
83 LI Amanda C. 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20% 1%
83 LU Amy 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4% -
85 LIGH Erenei J. 100% 92% 63% 27% 7% 1% -
85 SENOGLU Irmak 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% - -
87 LEE Sophia 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7% 1%
87 BUHAY Kirsten M. 100% 76% 33% 7% - - -
89 LEMUS-IAKOVIDOU ALEXANDRA 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% - -
90 WEI Vivian W. 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2% -
91 LIN Nicole 100% 97% 79% 42% 10% 1% -
92 RAMIREZ Mirka A. 100% 90% 56% 18% 2% - -
93 YANG Lea 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% -
94 ALFARACHE Gabriella C. 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% -
95 ZHANG XUANYI 100% 92% 61% 23% 4% -
96 DUCKETT Madison 100% 99% 90% 55% 15% 1%
96 TSUI Natalie 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% -
98 LIU Yifei 100% 86% 49% 14% 2% -
99 SHTREVENSKY Maria 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 4% -
100 JEONG Katie 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
101 ARNECKE Lauren A. 100% 95% 72% 34% 7% - -
101 CHRISTOTHOULOU Olympia C. 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
101 MELNYCHUK Yelyzaveta 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 15%
104 TSE Angelina 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1% -
105 KHAN Alissa 100% 91% 59% 23% 5% - -
106 GUVEN Coco 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% - -
106 WU Helen 100% 96% 75% 36% 10% 1% -
108 LEE Hannah 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
108 NATH Trisha 100% 100% 94% 74% 37% 10% 1%
108 SHI Julia 100% 90% 58% 21% 4% - -
111 DHAR Layla 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
112 STAPLETON Lindsay K. 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
113 CALLAHAN Chase J. 100% 100% 93% 68% 27% 4% -
113 BARNOVITZ Maya 100% 96% 79% 45% 16% 3% -
115 LIM Jaslene 100% 97% 76% 35% 8% 1% -
116 XU Emily T. 100% 78% 35% 7% 1% - -
117 CHIANG Melissa 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% - -
118 MUND Ruth 100% 90% 56% 18% 2% - -
119 HU Michelle 100% 82% 45% 14% 3% - -
120 LACSON Sarah 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3%
120 BLUM Leah I. 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
122 HUANG Rachael 100% 59% 14% 1% - -
123 VESTEL Mira B. 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 28% 4%
124 DAI Olivia 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% - -
125 DONG Angel 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% - -
125 PABIAN Emilia 100% 91% 60% 22% 4% - -
127 NGUYEN Siena 100% 97% 77% 37% 6% - -
127 SCOTT Eve 100% 90% 57% 20% 4% - -
129 HUANG MADELINE 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
130 WANG Elysia 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% - -
131 FAVO Isabella 100% 89% 56% 20% 3% - -
132 ZHANG Chenfei 100% 89% 55% 17% 2% - -
133 WEI JoyAnn 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
134 GHAYALOD reya 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19% 1%
135 KONDEV Elizabeth 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
136 GRAJALES Hannah E. 100% 85% 45% 13% 2% - -
137 WANG Gloria Ruoyan 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
138 DANTULURI Shalini 100% 86% 48% 14% 2% - -
139 MANN Sophia J. 100% 61% 19% 3% - -
140 SO Catelyn 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% -
140 MAKLIN Sofia 100% 74% 24% 3% - -
142 BOYNTON Ainsley 100% 71% 27% 5% - - -
143 SCHAIBLE Sofia L. 100% 71% 27% 5% - - -
143 ATTIA Jasmine 100% 79% 36% 7% 1% - -
145 GLUCK Myriam 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% - -
145 COLTER Aurora 100% 90% 54% 18% 3% - -
147 BAKER Audrey C. 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
147 YU Zhiang 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
149 ZHANG Sophie 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.