October NAC

Div I Men's Saber

Friday, October 27, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Orange County Convention Center - Orlando, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SARON Mitchell S. - - - - 2% 21% 77%
2 JI Cody Walter - - 1% 5% 22% 45% 27%
3 DOLEGIEWICZ Filip - - - - 2% 21% 76%
3 LOKHANOV OLY Konstantin - - - 5% 30% 64%
5 BENAVRAM Lev C. - - - 4% 20% 42% 33%
6 MORRILL William - - - 3% 15% 41% 41%
7 LILOV Neil - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
8 KIM Shaun M. - 2% 11% 26% 34% 22% 6%
9 HOMER Daryl D. - - - - 1% 33% 66%
10 THOMPSON Khalil A. - - - - 4% 30% 65%
11 WILLIAMS Grant W. - - - - 4% 34% 62%
12 ESCUETA Tony V. - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 19%
13 KIM Stephen E. - - 1% 8% 32% 47% 12%
14 CHOI Silas 3% 17% 36% 31% 11% 1%
15 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. - - - 1% 10% 38% 50%
16 LINSKY Matthew - 1% 7% 24% 42% 27%
17 FIORETTO Luca - - 1% 8% 27% 43% 21%
18 YUN Jaesun - - 2% 11% 29% 39% 19%
19 DODDO Andrew - - - - 5% 33% 61%
20 WU Roger (Mengke) - 2% 14% 37% 38% 7% < 1%
21 TE VELDE Noah C. - 1% 5% 20% 37% 29% 8%
22 CALLAHAN Jaden P. - - 1% 11% 36% 43% 9%
23 WANG Robert - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 3%
24 COHEN Josef A. - - - 1% 8% 46% 45%
25 CHON Taylor A. - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 26%
26 HEATHCOCK Colin Yang Siqi - - 3% 18% 44% 35%
27 GONZALEZ Emilio A. 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
28 LINDER James (Luke) L. - - - - 3% 27% 70%
29 SO Hananiah - - 3% 22% 61% 14% -
30 SMITH Jared C. - - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
31 BABAYEV Gabriel A. - 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 5%
32 HONG Steven 1% 8% 27% 38% 21% 4% -
33 HEATHCOCK Antonio - - - - 5% 29% 66%
34 REN James 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5% < 1%
35 LUKASHENKO Darii - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
36 YANG Ziyi - 5% 21% 35% 28% 9% 1%
37 ZU Kevin - - - 4% 18% 41% 36%
38 BARNETT Adam - 1% 5% 22% 41% 28% 3%
39 KOGAN Benjamin - 1% 9% 30% 39% 19% 3%
39 DEPEW Spencer 4% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
41 SHOMAN Zachary - 4% 19% 38% 30% 8% 1%
42 SIMAK Joseph P. - - 5% 21% 39% 30% 5%
43 ROBERTS Sam - 3% 16% 35% 35% 12%
44 MICLAUS Justin 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2%
45 DODRILL Grant - 5% 22% 39% 28% 6%
46 LACAZE Alexandre - - - 2% 18% 58% 22%
47 ARMIJO Gabriel K. - - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
47 WILSON Jude - 1% 9% 27% 38% 22% 3%
49 GREENBAUM Maxwell H. - 1% 9% 32% 44% 13% 1%
49 BAE Jason I. - 4% 19% 37% 29% 9% 1%
51 GEFELL Andrew P. - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 17%
52 TANN Justin - 4% 19% 37% 30% 9% 1%
53 BERMAN Luca - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
53 CHOI HYUNSEOK - - 1% 8% 26% 42% 23%
55 FENG Leo - 3% 15% 33% 34% 14% 2%
56 SUBBIAH Prashanth V. 8% 29% 38% 21% 4% -
57 BURGUNDER Quinten (Quin) A. - - - 4% 20% 46% 29%
58 NAZLYMOV Andrei 1% 6% 25% 40% 23% 5% -
59 WESTERN Rafael - - - 2% 19% 58% 21%
60 HOUTZ Jackson 1% 7% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
61 MAROUF Eyad - - - 2% 17% 51% 31%
62 SKEETE Kamar A. - - - 2% 14% 42% 42%
63 DHINGRA Gian K. - - 2% 12% 34% 39% 12%
64 ZUBATIY Samuel 1% 7% 25% 39% 23% 5% -
65 MACKIEWICZ Andrew A. - - - - 3% 32% 65%
66 ERMAKOV Lev - 1% 8% 30% 44% 18%
67 HARLEY Colby A. - - - 2% 15% 47% 36%
68 ANDREEV Ilia - - - 1% 14% 61% 24%
69 ROBINSON William 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
70 LEE Justin - 3% 13% 29% 33% 19% 4%
71 LIM William J. 1% 7% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1%
72 POSY Daniel 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% < 1% -
73 HUANG Ethan F. - 2% 10% 28% 37% 20% 2%
74 KRASILNIKOV Rostislav - - - 1% 10% 40% 48%
75 DENNER Maximilian P. - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 8%
76 SLASTIN Andrew - 4% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2%
77 PENG Bryan 4% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
78 LIANG Connor - - 2% 14% 36% 37% 11%
78 HOLMES Aiden G. - 3% 17% 37% 33% 10% -
80 WONG Tzer 2% 13% 33% 34% 15% 2%
81 HOLZ William A. 1% 7% 26% 40% 24% 3% -
82 MUSGRAVE Walter N. - 3% 15% 33% 34% 14% 2%
83 GUFFEY Christopher 6% 26% 40% 23% 4% - -
84 BERRIO Carter E. - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 1%
85 OH Triton 3% 19% 34% 28% 12% 3% -
86 BARRIOS Diego 29% 44% 22% 5% < 1% - -
87 CHEONG Heonjae 3% 18% 38% 32% 9% 1% -
88 WOOD Elden S. - - 1% 9% 29% 41% 19%
89 ATANASSOV Vasil V. - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6%
90 CHAN Matthew - 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 5%
91 PRIMUS Nazir 1% 8% 27% 39% 22% 4% -
92 POPE Nico - 3% 15% 33% 34% 14% 1%
93 SHOMAN Noah 3% 20% 38% 29% 9% 1% -
94 LIN Daniel 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
94 CORTEZ Christopher 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
96 LIN Maxim 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
97 WANG Nicolas 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
98 HOLZ Daniel 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
99 SANTANA Hudson S. 2% 12% 34% 37% 14% 1%
100 TAO Jeffrey 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
101 WOODWARD Dylan P. - 5% 18% 34% 30% 11% 1%
102 ZHANG Derek 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% -
103 JEFFORDS Alexander - 1% 6% 21% 37% 29% 6%
104 ZHANG Jeffrey 4% 21% 38% 28% 8% 1% -
105 JIANG Anthony - 1% 8% 27% 40% 22% 2%
106 LE Hayden 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
107 BOSITA Carson 8% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
108 EICHHORN Lukas H. - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
109 HUANG Alex F. 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8% 1%
110 SU Landon 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
111 VAID Luke 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
112 KEITA Babacar - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9%
113 YAO JINTAO 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
114 CHTERENTAL Alex 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
115 LEE Aydan J. 2% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2%
116 HJERPE Wade H. 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% -
117 GHAYALOD ansh 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% -
118 FALCON-KORB Mathis 29% 44% 22% 4% - -
119 LUHAN Zachary 52% 36% 10% 1% - -
120 CHEONG Heonjun 3% 17% 36% 33% 11% 1% -
121 PRIEST Leighton K. - - 2% 12% 37% 42% 6%
122 PATEL Rayn 7% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1% -
123 GLOZMAN Justin 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 1% -
124 KIM ELIJAH 3% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2% -
125 HARE John R. - 4% 18% 37% 32% 9% 1%
126 YANG Richard - 2% 16% 38% 33% 11% 1%
127 YANG Dylan 12% 35% 35% 15% 2% - -
128 MCCARTHY Gabriel 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
129 HAN William 5% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
130 CHAVES Matthew J. 8% 29% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
131 PATIL Aaryan A. 1% 11% 38% 35% 13% 2% -
132 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
133 KANG Evan R. 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
134 WANG Daniel 17% 40% 31% 10% 1% - -
135 CRAIG Samuel 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
136 FIELDS Matthew S. 3% 16% 32% 30% 15% 3% -
137 RASMUSSEN Alexzander C. 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1% -
138 HWANG Jayden 5% 25% 43% 25% 3% - -
139 QIU Nathan 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
140 HAO Anwen 22% 43% 28% 7% 1% - -
141 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 10% 34% 36% 17% 3% -
142 WOODWARD Connor 1% 6% 25% 41% 23% 4%
142 KALPATHY Rohit 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% -
144 SHIRPAL Oleksandr 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 1%
145 FRANCOIS Alexander C. 21% 52% 23% 4% - - -
146 KIM Alexander M. - 4% 17% 32% 31% 13% 2%
147 DUDNICK Christian 35% 42% 19% 4% - - -
148 STATEN-LUSTY Silas J. - - 3% 14% 34% 36% 12%
149 ROSBERG Dashiell W. 9% 30% 37% 19% 5% 1% -
150 YAO JINCHENG - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
151 LO Konnor 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
152 LUTHRA Arjun 4% 22% 39% 27% 7% 1% -
152 GAO Albert 7% 28% 39% 21% 4% - -
154 LI Yiwei 12% 33% 35% 16% 4% - -
155 KWALWASSER Eric 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 2% -
156 BYON Julian 12% 34% 34% 16% 3% - -
157 GERSTMANN Max T. 24% 44% 26% 5% - - -
158 DIACOS Jordan 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 3% -
159 WAXLER Seth B. 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
160 RIGGINS Littleton K. 4% 24% 42% 26% 3% - -
161 HU Christopher 15% 39% 33% 12% 2% - -
162 ZHANG Ethan W. 27% 43% 23% 6% 1% - -
163 AKS Ari 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
164 STONE Esmond A. 11% 33% 36% 17% 3% - -
165 WALKER Dalton F. - < 1% 2% 14% 40% 44%
166 YE Eric 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% -
167 RADY-PENTEK Charles A. 10% 34% 38% 16% 3% -
167 MUNGUIA Nathan 12% 37% 36% 13% 2% -
169 BUCHMANN Finn D. 2% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
170 DENNER Lysander H. - 1% 10% 32% 40% 15% 1%
170 DALAL Rohan 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
172 XU William - 1% 8% 24% 38% 25% 3%
173 MAKLIN Edward P. 1% 6% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
174 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1% -
174 ANAND Rohan 17% 40% 31% 10% 1% - -
176 JOO Jeein 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
177 DECK Tyson 18% 41% 30% 10% 1% - -
177 MATTOO Deven 53% 39% 8% 1% - - -
179 SHIPITSIN Alexander 30% 43% 22% 5% 1% - -
180 HUANG Zekai 25% 43% 25% 6% 1% - -
180 GONG Jerry 25% 43% 25% 6% 1% - -
182 LIU Lawrence 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
183 RAMANAN Jaisimh 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
184 MATTOO Surya 31% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
185 BERA Enzo 20% 42% 29% 8% 1% - -
186 BYON Adrian 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
186 ZEWDA Kebron 11% 32% 34% 18% 4% - -
188 BROU Inkosi 9% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
189 ZENG Noah 11% 34% 37% 16% 2% - -
189 ZHANG Yupeng 32% 43% 21% 4% - - -
191 RAMANAN Govind 15% 37% 34% 13% 2% - -
192 TENG MATTHEW 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
193 MAY Griffin M. 16% 36% 32% 13% 3% - -
194 KILGALLEN William 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
195 MORALES Jonathan 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
196 TONG ZACHARY 2% 15% 33% 34% 14% 1%
197 HEINTZ Evin Y. < 1% 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
197 BUKOWSKI Broghan J. 24% 43% 26% 7% 1% - -
199 KUSHKOV Daniel 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% -
200 PIWOWAR Alex 9% 33% 38% 17% 3% - -
200 YAN Kevin 14% 34% 32% 15% 4% - -
202 FENKER William M. 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1% -
203 GREENBAUM Ian L. 3% 17% 37% 31% 11% 2% -
203 CHUNG Connor 10% 35% 36% 16% 3% - -
205 LEE Noah 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
206 SHANKWILER Christopher 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
206 MCGUIRE Christian 7% 30% 39% 20% 4% - -
206 SOWERS Samuel 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
209 RAI Avin 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
210 HARDISON Terry (Reno) 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% - -
210 MAHAPATRA SAMARTH 39% 40% 17% 4% - - -
210 EYBELMAN Ariel 19% 43% 30% 8% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.