October NAC

Div I Men's Saber

Friday, October 27, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Orange County Convention Center - Orlando, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SARON Mitchell S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77%
2 JI Cody Walter 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 27%
3 DOLEGIEWICZ Filip 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
3 LOKHANOV OLY Konstantin 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
5 BENAVRAM Lev C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
6 MORRILL William 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
7 LILOV Neil 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
8 KIM Shaun M. 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 6%
9 HOMER Daryl D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 66%
10 THOMPSON Khalil A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
11 WILLIAMS Grant W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 62%
12 ESCUETA Tony V. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
13 KIM Stephen E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 12%
14 CHOI Silas 100% 97% 80% 44% 12% 1%
15 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
16 LINSKY Matthew 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
17 FIORETTO Luca 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 21%
18 YUN Jaesun 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
19 DODDO Andrew 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61%
20 WU Roger (Mengke) 100% 100% 97% 83% 46% 8% < 1%
21 TE VELDE Noah C. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
22 CALLAHAN Jaden P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 52% 9%
23 WANG Robert 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 3%
24 COHEN Josef A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 45%
25 CHON Taylor A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
26 HEATHCOCK Colin Yang Siqi 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 35%
27 GONZALEZ Emilio A. 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 8% 1%
28 LINDER James (Luke) L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
29 SO Hananiah 100% 100% 100% 97% 75% 14% -
30 SMITH Jared C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
31 BABAYEV Gabriel A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
32 HONG Steven 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 5% -
33 HEATHCOCK Antonio 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
34 REN James 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% < 1%
35 LUKASHENKO Darii 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11%
36 YANG Ziyi 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
37 ZU Kevin 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 36%
38 BARNETT Adam 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 31% 3%
39 KOGAN Benjamin 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 22% 3%
39 DEPEW Spencer 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 3% -
41 SHOMAN Zachary 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 9% 1%
42 SIMAK Joseph P. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 5%
43 ROBERTS Sam 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 12%
44 MICLAUS Justin 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2%
45 DODRILL Grant 100% 100% 94% 73% 34% 6%
46 LACAZE Alexandre 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 22%
47 ARMIJO Gabriel K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
47 WILSON Jude 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 3%
49 GREENBAUM Maxwell H. 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 14% 1%
49 BAE Jason I. 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
51 GEFELL Andrew P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 17%
52 TANN Justin 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 10% 1%
53 BERMAN Luca 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
53 CHOI HYUNSEOK 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 23%
55 FENG Leo 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
56 SUBBIAH Prashanth V. 100% 92% 63% 25% 4% -
57 BURGUNDER Quinten (Quin) A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 29%
58 NAZLYMOV Andrei 100% 99% 93% 69% 28% 5% -
59 WESTERN Rafael 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 21%
60 HOUTZ Jackson 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 11% 1%
61 MAROUF Eyad 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 31%
62 SKEETE Kamar A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42%
63 DHINGRA Gian K. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 12%
64 ZUBATIY Samuel 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 5% -
65 MACKIEWICZ Andrew A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 65%
66 ERMAKOV Lev 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 18%
67 HARLEY Colby A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 36%
68 ANDREEV Ilia 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 85% 24%
69 ROBINSON William 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% 1% -
70 LEE Justin 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 23% 4%
71 LIM William J. 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
72 POSY Daniel 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% < 1% -
73 HUANG Ethan F. 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 22% 2%
74 KRASILNIKOV Rostislav 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 48%
75 DENNER Maximilian P. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 8%
76 SLASTIN Andrew 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
77 PENG Bryan 100% 96% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
78 LIANG Connor 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 11%
78 HOLMES Aiden G. 100% 100% 96% 80% 43% 10% -
80 WONG Tzer 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
81 HOLZ William A. 100% 99% 92% 67% 27% 3% -
82 MUSGRAVE Walter N. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
83 GUFFEY Christopher 100% 94% 68% 28% 5% - -
84 BERRIO Carter E. 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 14% 1%
85 OH Triton 100% 97% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
86 BARRIOS Diego 100% 71% 27% 5% < 1% - -
87 CHEONG Heonjae 100% 97% 79% 41% 10% 1% -
88 WOOD Elden S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 19%
89 ATANASSOV Vasil V. 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 6%
90 CHAN Matthew 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 5%
91 PRIMUS Nazir 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 4% -
92 POPE Nico 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 15% 1%
93 SHOMAN Noah 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1% -
94 LIN Daniel 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
94 CORTEZ Christopher 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
96 LIN Maxim 100% 94% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
97 WANG Nicolas 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
98 HOLZ Daniel 100% 99% 92% 65% 28% 5%
99 SANTANA Hudson S. 100% 98% 86% 52% 16% 1%
100 TAO Jeffrey 100% 95% 71% 35% 9% 1%
101 WOODWARD Dylan P. 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 12% 1%
102 ZHANG Derek 100% 98% 84% 55% 23% 5% -
103 JEFFORDS Alexander 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 34% 6%
104 ZHANG Jeffrey 100% 96% 75% 37% 9% 1% -
105 JIANG Anthony 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 24% 2%
106 LE Hayden 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
107 BOSITA Carson 100% 92% 62% 25% 6% 1% -
108 EICHHORN Lukas H. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 4%
109 HUANG Alex F. 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9% 1%
110 SU Landon 100% 98% 86% 59% 26% 6% 1%
111 VAID Luke 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% - -
112 KEITA Babacar 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
113 YAO JINTAO 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
114 CHTERENTAL Alex 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
115 LEE Aydan J. 100% 98% 80% 45% 14% 2%
116 HJERPE Wade H. 100% 87% 53% 18% 3% -
117 GHAYALOD ansh 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% -
118 FALCON-KORB Mathis 100% 71% 27% 5% - -
119 LUHAN Zachary 100% 48% 11% 1% - -
120 CHEONG Heonjun 100% 97% 81% 44% 11% 1% -
121 PRIEST Leighton K. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48% 6%
122 PATEL Rayn 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
123 GLOZMAN Justin 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 1% -
124 KIM ELIJAH 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2% -
125 HARE John R. 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9% 1%
126 YANG Richard 100% 100% 98% 83% 45% 12% 1%
127 YANG Dylan 100% 88% 53% 17% 2% - -
128 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 5% -
129 HAN William 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
130 CHAVES Matthew J. 100% 92% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
131 PATIL Aaryan A. 100% 99% 88% 50% 15% 2% -
132 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
133 KANG Evan R. 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
134 WANG Daniel 100% 83% 42% 11% 1% - -
135 CRAIG Samuel 100% 89% 58% 24% 5% 1% -
136 FIELDS Matthew S. 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 4% -
137 RASMUSSEN Alexzander C. 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 1% -
138 HWANG Jayden 100% 95% 71% 28% 3% - -
139 QIU Nathan 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
140 HAO Anwen 100% 78% 35% 8% 1% - -
141 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 100% 90% 56% 20% 3% -
142 WOODWARD Connor 100% 99% 93% 69% 27% 4%
142 KALPATHY Rohit 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% -
144 SHIRPAL Oleksandr 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 1%
145 FRANCOIS Alexander C. 100% 79% 27% 4% - - -
146 KIM Alexander M. 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
147 DUDNICK Christian 100% 65% 22% 4% - - -
148 STATEN-LUSTY Silas J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 12%
149 ROSBERG Dashiell W. 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% 1% -
150 YAO JINCHENG 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
151 LO Konnor 100% 97% 82% 52% 20% 4% -
152 LUTHRA Arjun 100% 96% 74% 35% 8% 1% -
152 GAO Albert 100% 93% 65% 26% 5% - -
154 LI Yiwei 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% - -
155 KWALWASSER Eric 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2% -
156 BYON Julian 100% 88% 54% 19% 4% - -
157 GERSTMANN Max T. 100% 76% 31% 6% - - -
158 DIACOS Jordan 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 3% -
159 WAXLER Seth B. 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
160 RIGGINS Littleton K. 100% 96% 72% 30% 4% - -
161 HU Christopher 100% 85% 46% 14% 2% - -
162 ZHANG Ethan W. 100% 73% 30% 7% 1% - -
163 AKS Ari 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
164 STONE Esmond A. 100% 89% 56% 20% 3% - -
165 WALKER Dalton F. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
166 YE Eric 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% -
167 RADY-PENTEK Charles A. 100% 90% 56% 18% 3% -
167 MUNGUIA Nathan 100% 88% 51% 15% 2% -
169 BUCHMANN Finn D. 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
170 DENNER Lysander H. 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 16% 1%
170 DALAL Rohan 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
172 XU William 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 29% 3%
173 MAKLIN Edward P. 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 10% 1%
174 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
174 ANAND Rohan 100% 83% 43% 12% 1% - -
176 JOO Jeein 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2% -
177 DECK Tyson 100% 82% 41% 11% 1% - -
177 MATTOO Deven 100% 47% 8% 1% - - -
179 SHIPITSIN Alexander 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
180 HUANG Zekai 100% 75% 33% 7% 1% - -
180 GONG Jerry 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% - -
182 LIU Lawrence 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
183 RAMANAN Jaisimh 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
184 MATTOO Surya 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
185 BERA Enzo 100% 80% 38% 8% 1% - -
186 BYON Adrian 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
186 ZEWDA Kebron 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% - -
188 BROU Inkosi 100% 91% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
189 ZENG Noah 100% 89% 55% 18% 3% - -
189 ZHANG Yupeng 100% 68% 25% 4% - - -
191 RAMANAN Govind 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% - -
192 TENG MATTHEW 100% 85% 48% 15% 3% - -
193 MAY Griffin M. 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
194 KILGALLEN William 100% 82% 43% 14% 2% - -
195 MORALES Jonathan 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
196 TONG ZACHARY 100% 98% 83% 50% 16% 1%
197 HEINTZ Evin Y. 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
197 BUKOWSKI Broghan J. 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% - -
199 KUSHKOV Daniel 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% -
200 PIWOWAR Alex 100% 91% 58% 20% 3% - -
200 YAN Kevin 100% 86% 52% 20% 4% - -
202 FENKER William M. 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1% -
203 GREENBAUM Ian L. 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 2% -
203 CHUNG Connor 100% 90% 55% 19% 3% - -
205 LEE Noah 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
206 SHANKWILER Christopher 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
206 MCGUIRE Christian 100% 93% 63% 25% 4% - -
206 SOWERS Samuel 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
209 RAI Avin 100% 99% 92% 65% 28% 5%
210 HARDISON Terry (Reno) 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
210 MAHAPATRA SAMARTH 100% 61% 21% 4% - - -
210 EYBELMAN Ariel 100% 81% 38% 8% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.