October NAC

Div II Women's Saber

Sunday, October 29, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Orange County Convention Center - Orlando, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BOYNTON Ainsley 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
2 LIM Jaslene 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
3 YUCEL Emine I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 63%
3 CHIARELLI Valentina 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 17%
5 PABIAN Emilia 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 41% 11%
6 FAVO Isabella 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 49% 12%
7 LUKER Sophia 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
8 CHUNG Hailey 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
9 SHI Julia 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 42% 11%
10 SENOGLU Irmak 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 12%
11 HSU Leah 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4%
11 MANKOVA Varvara 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 6%
13 DAVIDOVA Kira 100% 99% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1%
14 DANTULURI Shalini 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 3%
15 CAO Sophie 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
16 ZHANG Sophie 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
17 HUANG MADELINE 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
18 ZHANG Chenfei 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
19 FAN Grace 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
20 LI Alexis 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 4%
20 LIN Nicole 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 17%
22 GOMERMAN Sophia 100% 100% 99% 88% 60% 24% 4%
23 HENRY Soraya S. 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 17%
24 WANG Zidan 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
25 LIU Sumin 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 35%
26 CHIANG Melissa 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
27 DIECK Miranda P. 100% 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2%
28 FANG Victoria W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 33%
28 PANTALEON-MAZOLA Amari 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
30 GOLOVITSER Maya 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
31 VINOGOROVA Sofiia 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 8%
32 BERNARD Kathryn 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
33 DENG Brooke 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
34 LUKER Hannah 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 1%
35 TURNOF Kayla M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 50% 8%
36 MALEK Zolie 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
37 HU Michelle 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
38 ELLIS-FURLONG Ava 100% 78% 39% 11% 2% -
39 GRAJALES Hannah E. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
40 TA-ZHOU Emma 100% 98% 81% 44% 13% 2% -
41 DUDNICK Morgan 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
42 CHAVAN Arya 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
43 KHAN Alissa 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 35% 8%
44 GOLDIN Nina 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
45 DAMBAL Sasha 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 18% 2%
46 SCHAIBLE Sofia L. 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
47 HUANG Doris 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1%
48 WANG Callie 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
49 DONDERIS Katherine 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% -
50 MONTORIO Lily M. 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
51 LIU Hannah 100% 100% 92% 65% 26% 5% -
52 ZOLLER Noelle 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 4%
53 LI Sonia 100% 98% 75% 36% 10% 1% -
54 SAYSON Andrea 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
55 WANG Gloria Ruoyan 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24% 2%
56 GARRETT Madrid 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 6% -
57 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% 1%
58 BAIREDDY Maya 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% 1%
59 XIE Nora 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
60 TENG EMMA 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 6%
61 MERCHANT Aishwarya 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2%
62 TESTROET Aubrey 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
63 LABRECQUE Savannah 100% 56% 17% 3% - - -
64 NAYAK Antara 100% 79% 29% 5% 1% - -
65 STONE Coral 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
66 ONG Lauren 100% 65% 23% 5% < 1% -
67 MUNGUIA Mila 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
68 LOPEZ-ONA Mia 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
69 HU Anna 100% 99% 88% 60% 24% 4%
70 XU Kaylyn 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% -
71 GLUCK Myriam 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
72 GUGALA Hanna 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 25% 4%
73 JEFFORDS Sophia 100% 99% 87% 54% 20% 3% -
74 BAINS Nandini 100% 96% 72% 33% 8% 1% -
75 DHAR Layla 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 16% 2%
76 OU Yixuan 100% 98% 85% 52% 19% 4% -
77 REN Xinling 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 7%
77 BORGUETA Madison 100% 94% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
77 BROWN Aria 100% 77% 33% 7% 1% - -
80 LOO Kaitlyn 100% 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
81 NAYAK Esha 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3%
82 ALAMI Amira 100% 75% 32% 6% 1% - -
83 LITTLE Avery 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
84 KRIVOSHEEV Alexandra 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5%
85 NEUMAN Ella 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1%
86 LEE Lauren 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 3%
87 LEOU Korina 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 8%
88 FREEMAN Armine 100% 96% 76% 42% 13% 2%
89 BROWN Olivia 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 4%
90 LATYSHAVA Stephanie 100% 97% 79% 43% 14% 2% -
90 NGUYEN Madeleine 100% 87% 52% 18% 4% - -
92 CHI Claire 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
93 SHEN Emily 100% 85% 45% 13% 2% - -
94 YOUNG Audrey 100% 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1%
95 MANN Sophia J. 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
96 BUSH Bethany 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2%
96 BLAKE Anna 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
98 CROOKS Riley 100% 93% 69% 34% 9% 1%
99 DE SILVA Augusta 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1%
100 SADANI Jyotika 100% 95% 65% 26% 5% - -
101 PADANILAM Lily 100% 97% 79% 44% 15% 3% -
102 MUELLER Amelia D. 100% 99% 86% 52% 15% 2% -
103 VILD Grace 100% 80% 30% 5% 1% - -
103 BANGALORE Shriya 100% 72% 28% 6% 1% - -
105 JEAN Emmanuelle C. 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
106 HO Sophia 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
106 SVENSSON Siri Lin 100% 41% 8% 1% - - -
108 WUNNAVA Elina 100% 89% 58% 24% 5% -
108 TURIANO Nadelle 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% -
110 PROBASCO Leila 100% 97% 80% 42% 11% 1% -
110 ALDERFER Katherine 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -
112 AKULOVA Kat 100% 95% 64% 26% 6% 1% -
113 MAUL Judy L. 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1%
114 LEE Kaelyn 100% 53% 11% 1% - - -
115 WUNNAVA Ellora 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% - -
116 SHEMONAEVA Irina 100% 20% 2% - - - -
117 CUTLER Juliet 100% 77% 33% 7% 1% - -
118 MILLER Tiffany E. 100% 48% 9% 1% - - -
119 PELLETIER Skylar 100% 37% 6% - - - -
120 SWEETLAND Lucy 100% 40% 7% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.